Alyono wrote:ninel conde wrote:nothing impressive over africa. i wonder how many augusts had no named storms.
truth be told, these season over posts are getting a bit annoying. It is still July and we have had 2 storms in the MDR this month. How many Julys have this?
Since you asked the question
and there is nothing to track I took the momment to go back 20 years.
I want to compare apples to apples so I looked at years with a neutral ENSO during JJA period at Nino 3.4
I came up with 10 years and this was their activity during July:
1993-No tropical systems formed
1994-One TD
1995-Three Tropical Storms
1996-One Cat 1 Hurricane and one Cat 3 Hurricane
2001-One TD
2003-Two TDs and one Tropical Storm
2005-Two Tropical Storms, one Cat 1, one Cat 4 & one Cat 5 Hurricane
2006-One TD & One Tropical Storm
2008-One Tropical Storm, one Cat 2 & one Cat 3 Hurricane
2012-No tropical systems formed
Two years came to my attention compared to this July which were 2001 & 2012.
In 2001 no tropical system strengthened into a hurricane within the MDR (below the 20th latitude).
It was not until October and November that two hurricanes formed below the 20th latitude which did in the western Caribbean.
On both years TWs struggled with dry air at the MDR during July.
Like I have said before this could be another year that it would be hard for tropical systems to strengthen at the MDR, they would have to gain latitude like in 2001 & 2012 or wait for later in the season for the MDR to moisten up some.
