hcane27 wrote:stormhunter7 wrote:any reason why 92L was taking of SSD Floater page?
They have it in the Eastern Pacific ....
For some reason is in EPAC section.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters.html
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hcane27 wrote:stormhunter7 wrote:any reason why 92L was taking of SSD Floater page?
They have it in the Eastern Pacific ....
colangie wrote:Im thinking Landfall anywhere between Lousiana to Navarre Florida. Maybe as a CAT 1 ....who knows...waiting game...
Okhope thats better!
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wxman57 wrote:Check out the projected 200mb (upper-level) flow associated with the trof Saturday night when this system may be a bit south of SE LA. If this is even close to right then there's no threat to SW Louisiana. And wind shear may increasing rapidly as it nears the Gulf Coast.
200mb winds:
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... atl_29.png
Shear:
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... atl_29.png
wxman57 wrote:00Z tropical models in (ignore BAMs). Good concentration toward SE LA/MS/AL. Only the old NGP (NOGAPS) and Canadian take it west. Good sign, as I always worry when my track is close to the NGP. Still looks like no less than light to moderate shear in its path. On the high side of moderate north of 25-26N. Could have an exposed center west of convection at landfall on N. Gulf Coast.
ROCK wrote:wxman57 wrote:Check out the projected 200mb (upper-level) flow associated with the trof Saturday night when this system may be a bit south of SE LA. If this is even close to right then there's no threat to SW Louisiana. And wind shear may increasing rapidly as it nears the Gulf Coast.
200mb winds:
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... atl_29.png
Shear:
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... atl_29.png
that is IF it takes the NGOM track....if it takes the southern track into the BOC, steering collapses as indicated by the EURO then all bets are off...the NAM has this crawling thru the BOC for a few days until finally moving...
ozonepete wrote:ROCK wrote:wxman57 wrote:Check out the projected 200mb (upper-level) flow associated with the trof Saturday night when this system may be a bit south of SE LA. If this is even close to right then there's no threat to SW Louisiana. And wind shear may increasing rapidly as it nears the Gulf Coast.
200mb winds:
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... atl_29.png
Shear:
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... atl_29.png
that is IF it takes the NGOM track....if it takes the southern track into the BOC, steering collapses as indicated by the EURO then all bets are off...the NAM has this crawling thru the BOC for a few days until finally moving...
Hey Rock, man, why the NAM? That's an old nag that won its last race a long time ago.
bamajammer4eva wrote:Looks like they just upgraded to TD#5
Nikki wrote:bamajammer4eva wrote:Looks like they just upgraded to TD#5
They did, for 93L
Tropical Depression Five: 11 PM ET, 35 mph winds, 1008 mb, moving WNW at 14 mph
MGC wrote:Cloud tops are warming, shear to pick up tomorrow and land interaction.....92L is in for some hostile conditions tomorrow...we shall see if it is upgraded.....MGC
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