ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 6356
- Age: 61
- Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
- Location: Miramar Bch. FL
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 6356
- Age: 61
- Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
- Location: Miramar Bch. FL
I think the Low now near or off the SE Coast of LA came close to becoming a TC had it been under better upper level conditions. Buoy south of Daulphin Island has had strong wind gusts all morning, varying wind directions and quick pressure changes.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42040
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42040
0 likes
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1242
- Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2011 10:58 am
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
I agree with you Dean. As unlikely as it may seem I wouldn't pronounce the area in the SW Gulf dead just yet. Further north you can see the thunderstorms racing toward the coast of Al Fl (way too fast for tropical development). But further south (where the convection resumed this morning) conditions will probably become more stable, and I think you might very well see development (as you would along the tail end of a typical front in that area).
Just an individual amateur. For all official info check with authorities (National Hurricane Center).
Just an individual amateur. For all official info check with authorities (National Hurricane Center).
0 likes
- HouTXmetro
- Category 5
- Posts: 3949
- Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
- Location: District of Columbia, USA
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
HouTXmetro wrote:Area near 95W 23N looks suspect.
As the feature on the NGOM coast pulls northward conditions might improve down by the suspect area you posted about. This buoy seems to be almost directly under it or very near and pressures aren't that low but if it does break away from the trough/frontal zone then it will need to watch very closely. it would likely move WNW or NW.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42055
Also noticing a low is forming about 20 miles south of Gulfport MS, hope that doesn't add a torando threat, to the flooding problems east of there.
0 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Portastorm
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 9788
- Age: 62
- Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
- Location: South Austin, TX
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
stormreader wrote:I agree with you Dean. As unlikely as it may seem I wouldn't pronounce the area in the SW Gulf dead just yet. Further north you can see the thunderstorms racing toward the coast of Al Fl (way too fast for tropical development). But further south (where the convection resumed this morning) conditions will probably become more stable, and I think you might very well see development (as you would along the tail end of a typical front in that area).
Just an individual amateur. For all official info check with authorities (National Hurricane Center).
Y'all are trying to turn this Star Trek episode into an episode of The Walking Dead!
0 likes
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
tailgater wrote:HouTXmetro wrote:Area near 95W 23N looks suspect.
As the feature on the NGOM coast pulls northward conditions might improve down by the suspect area you posted about. This buoy seems to be almost directly under it or very near and pressures aren't that low but if it does break away from the trough/frontal zone then it will need to watch very closely. it would likely move WNW or NW.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42055
Also noticing a low is forming about 20 miles south of Gulfport MS, hope that doesn't add a torando threat, to the flooding problems east of there.
Radar has the little low south of Bay St. Louis coming inland ... getting tropical depression like conditions in Biloxi right now... winds out of the ESE to SE from sustained at times 20-25mph with a few gusts to 30mph, tides a couple of feet above normal and copious amounts of rain with another very heavy rain squall approaching...
0 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Video of conditions in Biloxi on the beach...
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Ju6Uymafoc&feature=youtu.be[/youtube]
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Ju6Uymafoc&feature=youtu.be[/youtube]
0 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 6356
- Age: 61
- Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
- Location: Miramar Bch. FL
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Frank P wrote:tailgater wrote:HouTXmetro wrote:Area near 95W 23N looks suspect.
As the feature on the NGOM coast pulls northward conditions might improve down by the suspect area you posted about. This buoy seems to be almost directly under it or very near and pressures aren't that low but if it does break away from the trough/frontal zone then it will need to watch very closely. it would likely move WNW or NW.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42055
Also noticing a low is forming about 20 miles south of Gulfport MS, hope that doesn't add a torando threat, to the flooding problems east of there.
Radar has the little low south of Bay St. Louis coming inland ... getting tropical depression like conditions in Biloxi right now... winds out of the ESE to SE from sustained at times 20-25mph with a few gusts to 30mph, tides a couple of feet above normal and copious amounts of rain with another very heavy rain squall approaching...
I think a Depression may have formed Frank P..... check the buoy south of Daulphin Island.... Sustained winds at 33kts and gusts to 39kts.
0 likes
- HouTXmetro
- Category 5
- Posts: 3949
- Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
- Location: District of Columbia, USA
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Starting to see sustained Deep convection near 94W and 23N. Let's see if it can do something. I also noticed the NHC has dissipated the Frontal boundary just east of the LA/MS border but the trough/wave still extends deep into the BOC.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-avn.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-avn.html
Last edited by Portastorm on Sun Aug 18, 2013 12:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Fixed link so it'll open in new window
Reason: Fixed link so it'll open in new window
0 likes
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
HouTXmetro wrote:Starting to see sustained Deep convection near 94W and 23N. Let's see if it can do something. I also noticed the NHC has dissipated the Frontal boundary just east of the LA/MS border but the trough/wave still extends deep into the BOC.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-avn.html
Getting hit with a really good rain band right now... I have a brass bell on my porch... it takes about 35-40mph wind gusts to make it ring... and it has rung several times in the past few minutes.... amazingly reliable wind gauge I might add.. Can't remember what model said the northern half of 92L would spin up near the LA/MS coast but it sure did... very much tropical depression conditions in Biloxi right now.. tried to go on my porch to video it but it was blowing and raining way to hard...
0 likes
-
- Category 4
- Posts: 907
- Joined: Sun Apr 18, 2010 3:21 am
- Location: Ozark, AL
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Looks like the GFS was right about the winds after all. Doesn't look organized but gusty.
0 likes
- Hurricaneman
- Category 5
- Posts: 7285
- Age: 43
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
- Location: central florida
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Im wondering if they will call this a tropical storm in post season analysis
0 likes
- HouTXmetro
- Category 5
- Posts: 3949
- Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
- Location: District of Columbia, USA
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
wow, SW winds 37 gusting to 55 mph off shore. Nasty conditions up there.
0 likes
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139707
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
No mention at 2 PM TWO.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- Portastorm
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 9788
- Age: 62
- Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
- Location: South Austin, TX
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Hurricaneman wrote:Im wondering if they will call this a tropical storm in post season analysis
Highly unlikely.
0 likes
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6kQFAjP8axU&feature=youtu.be[/youtube]
This system may not be declared a depression but it is every bit of one weather wise today on the beach in Biloxi... able to shoot this video via a crack in the front when is slacked up a tad, we are still getting pounded with some torrential rains right now from the same cell that has lasted quite some time..
This system may not be declared a depression but it is every bit of one weather wise today on the beach in Biloxi... able to shoot this video via a crack in the front when is slacked up a tad, we are still getting pounded with some torrential rains right now from the same cell that has lasted quite some time..
0 likes
- HouTXmetro
- Category 5
- Posts: 3949
- Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
- Location: District of Columbia, USA
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-avn.html
Just an observation, but is the area in the SW Gulf attempting to cut off? Pay attention to the the sustained convection down there while it's weakening Northeast as you progress towards the LA/MS/AL area. I also see a rapidly approaching Tropical Wave near Central Cuba headed towards the Gulf. Should that area in the SW Gulf Linger could the wave spark something further? Bears Watching. lol
Just an observation, but is the area in the SW Gulf attempting to cut off? Pay attention to the the sustained convection down there while it's weakening Northeast as you progress towards the LA/MS/AL area. I also see a rapidly approaching Tropical Wave near Central Cuba headed towards the Gulf. Should that area in the SW Gulf Linger could the wave spark something further? Bears Watching. lol
0 likes
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests