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12z...
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12z...Recurve models go strong...Westward models stay weak...
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alienstorm wrote:If you look at the water vapor loop - I see the trough digging but you can see the big high coming in after it, not sure that this trough will pick up what ever is down with 97L
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index.php?satellite=east&channel=wv&coverage=conus&file=gif&imgoranim=8&anim_method=flash
alienstorm wrote:If you look at the water vapor loop - I see the trough digging but you can see the big high coming in after it, not sure that this trough will pick up what ever is down with 97L
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index.php?satellite=east&channel=wv&coverage=conus&file=gif&imgoranim=8&anim_method=flash
ROCK wrote:alienstorm wrote:If you look at the water vapor loop - I see the trough digging but you can see the big high coming in after it, not sure that this trough will pick up what ever is down with 97L
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index.php?satellite=east&channel=wv&coverage=conus&file=gif&imgoranim=8&anim_method=flash
good point...I will back it up with the 12Z NAM....not that the NAM is good with tropical systems but that 1022MB high dropping down is fixing to trap this at 84hr...going to be close...
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam/2013090412/nam_reflectivity_watl.html
ROCK wrote:yes it seems some of these are keying off the east low....really hard call for them it seems.
CalmBeforeStorm wrote:ROCK wrote:yes it seems some of these are keying off the east low....really hard call for them it seems.
You have to wonder if the western feature engulfs the eastern feature and develops how that will change the model output.
Alyono wrote:the models trends are likely wrong. Satellite shows that the trailing wave is starting to become entrained into the Caribbean low
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