T numbers 6.5 for Isabel ~ 145mph ~ 935mb
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T numbers 6.5 for Isabel ~ 145mph ~ 935mb
Looks like Isabel is intensifying. It may be the strongest it can get but if it reached a 7.0 later tonight I wouldn't be surprised.
Notice its oriented straight due west. It will also take a southwesterly jog here and there over the next 48 hours.
Andrew did nearly the same thing when it was weaker due to a ridge above it. Since Isabel is stronger when it encountered this ridge than Andrew was expect a few more southwesterly wobbles.
Notice its oriented straight due west. It will also take a southwesterly jog here and there over the next 48 hours.
Andrew did nearly the same thing when it was weaker due to a ridge above it. Since Isabel is stronger when it encountered this ridge than Andrew was expect a few more southwesterly wobbles.
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- southerngale
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6.5 is a good levelling off point too for Isabel as it was for so many other hurricanes in the past. A lot of them max out at 140-155mph and never make it to Category 5.
HOWEVER, we do have to watch this closely. Now that it has fully replaced the eyewall it could try to intensify once more, and at this point it wouldn't take much to crank it up a notch.
HOWEVER, we do have to watch this closely. Now that it has fully replaced the eyewall it could try to intensify once more, and at this point it wouldn't take much to crank it up a notch.
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it might actually make it to cat 5. she's getting her act together again. cold cloud tops are working its way around the eye now and turning more symmetrical.
Last edited by wow on Wed Sep 10, 2003 6:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- Stormsfury
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- AussieMark
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Isabel looks larger than Andrew so if it strikes anywhere along the US from Florida to North Carolina there will be loads of damage caused I am talking $10 Billion minimum. That is if landfall is made as a category 4.
<img src="http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUWV.JPG" height="300" width="400">
<img src="http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUWV.JPG" height="300" width="400">
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Damage is dramatically linked to population. If Isabel hits anywhere on the east coast the most critical areas will be within 15-25 miles of the eyewall. If the landfall is in a low population area the hit is minimized. If it is dead-on into a major metro area as a cat 4+ the damage could be enormous. At a maximum, there could be a path of extreme or major devastation up to perhaps 75 miles wide, more likely 50.
Still, that's a pretty darned big brush hog.
Still, that's a pretty darned big brush hog.
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- mf_dolphin
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I would not be surprised if Izzy was 145 to 150 mph on the 11PM Advisory.
I think she could peak at 160, Cat 5, briefly, but I hope that this cane hits a very low population area, NOT a metro. If the storm makes landfall whaich at the moment it appears she will eventually do, I hope Izzy weakens some before doing so. I wish she would just do a nice recurve and become a Fish Spinner for us.
We really don't need this particular storm.
-Jeb
I think she could peak at 160, Cat 5, briefly, but I hope that this cane hits a very low population area, NOT a metro. If the storm makes landfall whaich at the moment it appears she will eventually do, I hope Izzy weakens some before doing so. I wish she would just do a nice recurve and become a Fish Spinner for us.
We really don't need this particular storm.
-Jeb
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