ATL: INGRID - Models

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Wx_Warrior
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#181 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 11, 2013 12:44 pm

If we are being honest, NAVGem isn't very good.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#182 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:16 pm

NAVGEM has a cool new name and has been upgraded..it cant be all bad.... :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#183 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:19 pm

the reason the NAVGEM brings it up the coast is the ridge is destroyed by a ridge killing short wave....might be over doing it a tad... :D

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... atl_31.png
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#184 Postby stormlover2013 » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:23 pm

its all about timing, we won't know anything until something develops.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#185 Postby Ptarmigan » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:31 pm

None of the models have done well this season.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#186 Postby LaBreeze » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:40 pm

ROCK wrote:the reason the NAVGEM brings it up the coast is the ridge is destroyed by a ridge killing short wave....might be over doing it a tad... :D

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... atl_31.png


I'm thinking it might be overdoing it by more than a tad.
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Not an official forecast by any means.
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#187 Postby Alyono » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:44 pm

EC has shifted north of Tampico
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#188 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:50 pm

Alyono wrote:EC has shifted north of Tampico


How much did it shift north? Does it now have it making landfall halfway between Tampico and Brownsville?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#189 Postby SFLcane » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:56 pm

brings a weak system inland...not much time over water. regardless heavy rainfall appears main threat here.

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#190 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:57 pm

Didn't see much on the EURO main site. Stays weak.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#191 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:58 pm

Think that man by 12z run for 9/10, yesterday @ SFL Cane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#192 Postby Alyono » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:58 pm

SFLcane wrote:brings a weak system inland...not much time over water. regardless heavy rainfall appears main threat here.

Image


The EC keeps it over the water for a good 2-3 days. It simply does not develop it (as has been its trend all year)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#193 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:59 pm

EURO 12z 96H

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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#194 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Sep 11, 2013 2:00 pm

:uarrow: Moving NW from there?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#195 Postby SFLcane » Wed Sep 11, 2013 2:01 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:Think that man by 12z run for 9/10, yesterday @ SFL Cane


nope..weak system inland
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#196 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 11, 2013 2:02 pm

Another version:

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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#197 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Sep 11, 2013 2:03 pm

Doesn't make a diff SFLcane, but yes, you have 9/10 12z. Check the initialize time on yours compared to the one I just posted. No biggie.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#198 Postby stormlover2013 » Wed Sep 11, 2013 2:03 pm

all depends where the llc forms, euro shows some interesting features though on other so called potential systems.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#199 Postby SFLcane » Wed Sep 11, 2013 2:04 pm

Like the GFS it backed away from mid-west trof. Not much to drag north from what i can see.

edit.. BOC systems can tend to spin rather quickly if given time over water so best to keep tabs on it.
Last edited by SFLcane on Wed Sep 11, 2013 2:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#200 Postby ROCK » Wed Sep 11, 2013 2:04 pm

:uarrow: I still like the NAVGEM run! just sayin
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