2013: ACE - ATL = 29.71 ; EPAC = 75.355 ; WPAC = 268.332
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 6.555 ; EPAC = 25.31 ; WPAC = 30,5125
Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 9/1, the streak of well below (and falling) ACE averages continues for most if not all basins in the northern hemisphere.
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N. Hemisphere: 121.9425 [Normal: 261 - 46% of normal]
Western Pacific: 60.0675 [Normal: 136 - 44% of normal]
North Atlantic: 8.3025 [Normal: 36 - 23% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 41.885 [Normal: 81 - 51% of normal]
North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]
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http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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N. Hemisphere: 121.9425 [Normal: 261 - 46% of normal]
Western Pacific: 60.0675 [Normal: 136 - 44% of normal]
North Atlantic: 8.3025 [Normal: 36 - 23% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 41.885 [Normal: 81 - 51% of normal]
North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]
______________________________
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 8.3025 ; EPAC = 41.885 ; WPAC = 60.0675
Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 9/9, Humberto is/will add some values to the Atlantic and I will try to update it as any new data comes in. As a whole the global ACE percentage continues to fall compared to normal.
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N. Hemisphere: 124.7975 [Normal: 294 - 42% of normal]
Western Pacific: 61.2925 [Normal: 149 - 41% of normal]
North Atlantic: 9 [Normal: 48 - 19% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 42.8175 [Normal: 89 - 48% of normal]
North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]
______________________________
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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N. Hemisphere: 124.7975 [Normal: 294 - 42% of normal]
Western Pacific: 61.2925 [Normal: 149 - 41% of normal]
North Atlantic: 9 [Normal: 48 - 19% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 42.8175 [Normal: 89 - 48% of normal]
North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]
______________________________
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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Re:
Alyono wrote:Humberto will likely significantly add to the ACE. It's going to be around for a while
If it pulls a Nadine we could get back up to 50-70 percentile, still a very long way to go in order to get back to normal.
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 8.3025 ; EPAC = 41.885 ; WPAC = 60.0675
Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 9/16, Humberto and Ingrid brought the Atlantic up from the depths however the basin still remains the least active relative to normal compared to the others.
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N. Hemisphere: 144.3625 [Normal: 335 - 43% of normal]
Western Pacific: 64.395 [Normal: 165 - 39% of normal]
North Atlantic: 23.2675 [Normal: 62 - 37% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 51.3225 [Normal: 99 - 51% of normal]
North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]
______________________________
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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N. Hemisphere: 144.3625 [Normal: 335 - 43% of normal]
Western Pacific: 64.395 [Normal: 165 - 39% of normal]
North Atlantic: 23.2675 [Normal: 62 - 37% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 51.3225 [Normal: 99 - 51% of normal]
North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]
______________________________
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 23.2675 ; EPAC = 51.3225 ; WPAC = 64.395
Humberto will get some more in his second life cycle but still the North Atlantic will be very low compared to average.
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 23.2675 ; EPAC = 51.3225 ; WPAC = 64.395
deficit of over 100 for the wpac...unreal...
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 23.2675 ; EPAC = 51.3225 ; WPAC = 64.395
Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 9/23. Not much was added for the Atlantic the past week and will fall back below 30% by next week, Usagi made a dent over in the WPAC, Manuel added a little for the EPAC.
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N. Hemisphere: 172.3300 [Normal: 372 - 46% of normal]
Western Pacific: 90.6325 [Normal: 181 - 50% of normal]
North Atlantic: 23.055 [Normal: 73 - 31% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 53.265 [Normal: 109 - 48% of normal]
North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]
______________________________
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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N. Hemisphere: 172.3300 [Normal: 372 - 46% of normal]
Western Pacific: 90.6325 [Normal: 181 - 50% of normal]
North Atlantic: 23.055 [Normal: 73 - 31% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 53.265 [Normal: 109 - 48% of normal]
North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]
______________________________
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 9/30. Atlantic and EPAC didn't really add much while the WPAC had additions.
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N. Hemisphere: 187.9770 [Normal: 405 - 46% of normal]
Western Pacific: 106.157 [Normal: 197 - 53% of normal]
North Atlantic: 23.3 [Normal: 82 - 28% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 53.1425 [Normal: 117 - 45% of normal]
North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]
______________________________
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
______________________________
N. Hemisphere: 187.9770 [Normal: 405 - 46% of normal]
Western Pacific: 106.157 [Normal: 197 - 53% of normal]
North Atlantic: 23.3 [Normal: 82 - 28% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 53.1425 [Normal: 117 - 45% of normal]
North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]
______________________________
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 23.3 ; EPAC = 53.1425 ; WPAC = 106.157
Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 10/07. Karen added a little for the Atlantic while the WPAC added quite a few with several typhoons.
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N. Hemisphere: 214.6905 [Normal: 430 - 49% of normal]
Western Pacific: 128.528 [Normal: 212 - 60% of normal]
North Atlantic: 26.93 [Normal: 87 - 30% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 53.855 [Normal: 123 - 30% of normal]
North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]
______________________________
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
______________________________
N. Hemisphere: 214.6905 [Normal: 430 - 49% of normal]
Western Pacific: 128.528 [Normal: 212 - 60% of normal]
North Atlantic: 26.93 [Normal: 87 - 30% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 53.855 [Normal: 123 - 30% of normal]
North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]
______________________________
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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Re:
gatorcane wrote:98L has a chance to pump up the ACE in the Atlantic. Who would of thought we would be looking for an ACE pumper in October for the Atlantic?
I would hold judgement on any serious ACE adding by any systems here on out. You're going to need a solid major hurricane of large size to really make a decent dent to seasonal ACE. A half baked system just isn't going to do it. So far there have been a lot of wolf calls on storms totaling up ACE but by and large, all of them together so far barely compares to something like a Nadine.
We still remain 3rd lowest seasonal ACE ever since 1950, in company with the big Ninos.
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- AJC3
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Re: Re:
Ntxw wrote: We still remain 3rd lowest seasonal ACE ever since 1950, in company with the big Ninos.
2013 is also still holding onto the lowest seasonal average ACE/NS ratio since 1950*.
1982 - 29/6 4.8
2007 - 72/15 4.8
1994 - 32/7 4.6
1968 - 35/8 4.4
1983 - 17/4 4.3
1991 - 34/8 4.3
1977 - 25/6 4.2
1972 - 28/7 4.0
1970 - 34/10 3.4
2013 - 27/11 2.5
*Some of the ACE and NS numbers from the big list on Wikipedia will change once the AOML/HRD/NHC hurricane reanalysis project is complete.
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 26.93 ; EPAC = 53.855 ; WPAC = 128.528
If we are to have one more storm this season, the ACE has to be roughly 14 for it to beat the 1970 "futility" mark (with AJC's caveat, of course, that there may be some changes due to reanalysis).
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 26.93 ; EPAC = 53.855 ; WPAC = 128.528
Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 10/14. WPAC continues to do the heavy lifting to bring up global ACE some. EPAC added a little bit while the Atlantic remains in the basement with no change. One noticeable event was Phailin which boosted the North Indian basin to above their yearly average.
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N. Hemisphere: 262.6495 [Normal: 444 - 59% of normal]
Western Pacific: 156.097 [Normal: 220 - 70% of normal]
North Atlantic: 26.93 [Normal: 89 - 30% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 56.7325 [Normal: 126 - 45% of normal]
North Indian: 22.89 [Normal: 8 -286% of normal *Yearly total is 18*]
______________________________
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
______________________________
N. Hemisphere: 262.6495 [Normal: 444 - 59% of normal]
Western Pacific: 156.097 [Normal: 220 - 70% of normal]
North Atlantic: 26.93 [Normal: 89 - 30% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 56.7325 [Normal: 126 - 45% of normal]
North Indian: 22.89 [Normal: 8 -286% of normal *Yearly total is 18*]
______________________________
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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- xtyphooncyclonex
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Northern Hemisphere: 262.6495 - 64%
Normal: 468 Yearly: 562
Western Pacific: 188.058 - 79%
Normal: 236 Yearly: 302
North Atlantic: 26.93 - 29%
Normal: 92 Yearly: 102
Eastern Pacific: 59.55 - 45%
Normal: 131 Yearly: 138
North Indian: 22.89 - 286%
Normal: 8 Yearly: 18
MY REMARKS:
Western Pacific: Very fast growing. Many typhoons add number.
North Atlantic: Overall, a dead season. This is the ACE of an average super typhoon in the Western Pacific.
Eastern Pacific: Growing slow overall, but the 1st major hurricane has formed.
North Indian: Very rapid. Cyclone Phailin contributed nearly its yearly ACE.
Normal: 468 Yearly: 562
Western Pacific: 188.058 - 79%
Normal: 236 Yearly: 302
North Atlantic: 26.93 - 29%
Normal: 92 Yearly: 102
Eastern Pacific: 59.55 - 45%
Normal: 131 Yearly: 138
North Indian: 22.89 - 286%
Normal: 8 Yearly: 18
MY REMARKS:
Western Pacific: Very fast growing. Many typhoons add number.
North Atlantic: Overall, a dead season. This is the ACE of an average super typhoon in the Western Pacific.
Eastern Pacific: Growing slow overall, but the 1st major hurricane has formed.
North Indian: Very rapid. Cyclone Phailin contributed nearly its yearly ACE.
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 27.66 ; EPAC = 58.665 ; WPAC = 197.882
The latest ACE update from Dr Maue site.
Western Pacific
197.882 197.882
North Atlantic
27.66 27.66
Eastern Pacific
58.665 58.665
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
Western Pacific
197.882 197.882
North Atlantic
27.66 27.66
Eastern Pacific
58.665 58.665
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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- xtyphooncyclonex
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WPAC ACE is now 200.333 which is 83% of normal. (Grew so fast)
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 27.66 ; EPAC = 58.665 ; WPAC = 197.882
I've been wondering what are the top 5 most ACE in a season for the wpac?
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- xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 27.66 ; EPAC = 58.665 ; WPAC = 197.882
euro6208 wrote:I've been wondering what are the top 5 most ACE in a season for the wpac?
Highest are 2004, 1997, 1992, 1965 (and probably 1964). I'm not so sure.
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