2013: ACE - ATL = 29.71 ; EPAC = 75.355 ; WPAC = 268.332

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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 6.555 ; EPAC = 25.31 ; WPAC = 30,5125

#21 Postby Ntxw » Mon Sep 02, 2013 10:15 am

Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 9/1, the streak of well below (and falling) ACE averages continues for most if not all basins in the northern hemisphere.
______________________________

N. Hemisphere: 121.9425 [Normal: 261 - 46% of normal]

Western Pacific: 60.0675 [Normal: 136 - 44% of normal]

North Atlantic: 8.3025 [Normal: 36 - 23% of normal]

Eastern Pacific: 41.885 [Normal: 81 - 51% of normal]

North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]

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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 8.3025 ; EPAC = 41.885 ; WPAC = 60.0675

#22 Postby Ntxw » Mon Sep 09, 2013 10:24 am

Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 9/9, Humberto is/will add some values to the Atlantic and I will try to update it as any new data comes in. As a whole the global ACE percentage continues to fall compared to normal.
______________________________

N. Hemisphere: 124.7975 [Normal: 294 - 42% of normal]

Western Pacific: 61.2925 [Normal: 149 - 41% of normal]

North Atlantic: 9 [Normal: 48 - 19% of normal]

Eastern Pacific: 42.8175 [Normal: 89 - 48% of normal]

North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]

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#23 Postby Alyono » Thu Sep 12, 2013 6:25 am

Humberto will likely significantly add to the ACE. It's going to be around for a while
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Re:

#24 Postby Ntxw » Thu Sep 12, 2013 6:32 am

Alyono wrote:Humberto will likely significantly add to the ACE. It's going to be around for a while


If it pulls a Nadine we could get back up to 50-70 percentile, still a very long way to go in order to get back to normal.
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 8.3025 ; EPAC = 41.885 ; WPAC = 60.0675

#25 Postby Ntxw » Mon Sep 16, 2013 10:36 am

Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 9/16, Humberto and Ingrid brought the Atlantic up from the depths however the basin still remains the least active relative to normal compared to the others.
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N. Hemisphere: 144.3625 [Normal: 335 - 43% of normal]

Western Pacific: 64.395 [Normal: 165 - 39% of normal]

North Atlantic: 23.2675 [Normal: 62 - 37% of normal]

Eastern Pacific: 51.3225 [Normal: 99 - 51% of normal]

North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]

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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 23.2675 ; EPAC = 51.3225 ; WPAC = 64.395

#26 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 16, 2013 10:40 am

Humberto will get some more in his second life cycle but still the North Atlantic will be very low compared to average.
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 23.2675 ; EPAC = 51.3225 ; WPAC = 64.395

#27 Postby euro6208 » Mon Sep 16, 2013 10:45 am

deficit of over 100 for the wpac...unreal...
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 23.2675 ; EPAC = 51.3225 ; WPAC = 64.395

#28 Postby Ntxw » Mon Sep 23, 2013 12:38 pm

Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 9/23. Not much was added for the Atlantic the past week and will fall back below 30% by next week, Usagi made a dent over in the WPAC, Manuel added a little for the EPAC.
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N. Hemisphere: 172.3300 [Normal: 372 - 46% of normal]

Western Pacific: 90.6325 [Normal: 181 - 50% of normal]

North Atlantic: 23.055 [Normal: 73 - 31% of normal]

Eastern Pacific: 53.265 [Normal: 109 - 48% of normal]

North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]

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#29 Postby Ntxw » Mon Sep 30, 2013 6:06 pm

Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 9/30. Atlantic and EPAC didn't really add much while the WPAC had additions.
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N. Hemisphere: 187.9770 [Normal: 405 - 46% of normal]

Western Pacific: 106.157 [Normal: 197 - 53% of normal]

North Atlantic: 23.3 [Normal: 82 - 28% of normal]

Eastern Pacific: 53.1425 [Normal: 117 - 45% of normal]

North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]

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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 23.3 ; EPAC = 53.1425 ; WPAC = 106.157

#30 Postby Ntxw » Mon Oct 07, 2013 7:08 pm

Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 10/07. Karen added a little for the Atlantic while the WPAC added quite a few with several typhoons.
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N. Hemisphere: 214.6905 [Normal: 430 - 49% of normal]

Western Pacific: 128.528 [Normal: 212 - 60% of normal]

North Atlantic: 26.93 [Normal: 87 - 30% of normal]

Eastern Pacific: 53.855 [Normal: 123 - 30% of normal]

North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]

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#31 Postby gatorcane » Mon Oct 07, 2013 9:33 pm

98L has a chance to pump up the ACE in the Atlantic. Who would of thought we would be looking for an ACE pumper in October for the Atlantic?
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Re:

#32 Postby Ntxw » Mon Oct 07, 2013 10:07 pm

gatorcane wrote:98L has a chance to pump up the ACE in the Atlantic. Who would of thought we would be looking for an ACE pumper in October for the Atlantic?


I would hold judgement on any serious ACE adding by any systems here on out. You're going to need a solid major hurricane of large size to really make a decent dent to seasonal ACE. A half baked system just isn't going to do it. So far there have been a lot of wolf calls on storms totaling up ACE but by and large, all of them together so far barely compares to something like a Nadine.

We still remain 3rd lowest seasonal ACE ever since 1950, in company with the big Ninos.
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Re: Re:

#33 Postby AJC3 » Mon Oct 07, 2013 10:28 pm

Ntxw wrote: We still remain 3rd lowest seasonal ACE ever since 1950, in company with the big Ninos.


2013 is also still holding onto the lowest seasonal average ACE/NS ratio since 1950*.

1982 - 29/6 4.8
2007 - 72/15 4.8
1994 - 32/7 4.6
1968 - 35/8 4.4
1983 - 17/4 4.3
1991 - 34/8 4.3
1977 - 25/6 4.2
1972 - 28/7 4.0
1970 - 34/10 3.4
2013 - 27/11 2.5

*Some of the ACE and NS numbers from the big list on Wikipedia will change once the AOML/HRD/NHC hurricane reanalysis project is complete.
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 26.93 ; EPAC = 53.855 ; WPAC = 128.528

#34 Postby HurrMark » Tue Oct 08, 2013 8:01 am

If we are to have one more storm this season, the ACE has to be roughly 14 for it to beat the 1970 "futility" mark (with AJC's caveat, of course, that there may be some changes due to reanalysis).
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 26.93 ; EPAC = 53.855 ; WPAC = 128.528

#35 Postby Ntxw » Mon Oct 14, 2013 6:53 pm

Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 10/14. WPAC continues to do the heavy lifting to bring up global ACE some. EPAC added a little bit while the Atlantic remains in the basement with no change. One noticeable event was Phailin which boosted the North Indian basin to above their yearly average.
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N. Hemisphere: 262.6495 [Normal: 444 - 59% of normal]

Western Pacific: 156.097 [Normal: 220 - 70% of normal]

North Atlantic: 26.93 [Normal: 89 - 30% of normal]

Eastern Pacific: 56.7325 [Normal: 126 - 45% of normal]

North Indian: 22.89 [Normal: 8 -286% of normal *Yearly total is 18*]

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#36 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Mon Oct 21, 2013 7:33 am

Northern Hemisphere: 262.6495 - 64%
Normal: 468 Yearly: 562

Western Pacific: 188.058 - 79%
Normal: 236 Yearly: 302

North Atlantic: 26.93 - 29%
Normal: 92 Yearly: 102

Eastern Pacific: 59.55 - 45%
Normal: 131 Yearly: 138

North Indian: 22.89 - 286%
Normal: 8 Yearly: 18

MY REMARKS:
Western Pacific: Very fast growing. Many typhoons add number.
North Atlantic: Overall, a dead season. This is the ACE of an average super typhoon in the Western Pacific.
Eastern Pacific: Growing slow overall, but the 1st major hurricane has formed.
North Indian: Very rapid. Cyclone Phailin contributed nearly its yearly ACE.
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 27.66 ; EPAC = 58.665 ; WPAC = 197.882

#37 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 22, 2013 5:35 pm

The latest ACE update from Dr Maue site.

Western Pacific
197.882 197.882

North Atlantic
27.66 27.66

Eastern Pacific
58.665 58.665

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#38 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Tue Oct 22, 2013 8:46 pm

WPAC ACE is now 200.333 which is 83% of normal. (Grew so fast)
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 27.66 ; EPAC = 58.665 ; WPAC = 197.882

#39 Postby euro6208 » Tue Oct 22, 2013 8:49 pm

I've been wondering what are the top 5 most ACE in a season for the wpac?
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 27.66 ; EPAC = 58.665 ; WPAC = 197.882

#40 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Tue Oct 22, 2013 11:04 pm

euro6208 wrote:I've been wondering what are the top 5 most ACE in a season for the wpac?

Highest are 2004, 1997, 1992, 1965 (and probably 1964). I'm not so sure.
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