Disturbance in Western Atlantic

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Disturbance in Western Atlantic

#1 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Sep 19, 2013 12:41 am

Image
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE BAHAMAS ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND A SURFACE TROUGH...AND AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM IN THIS AREA DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...BUT THE LOW COULD STILL ACQUIRE
SOME SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145358
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Area of disturbance near the Bahamas - 10%-20%

#2 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 19, 2013 6:28 am

8 AM TWO:

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE BAHAMAS
AND BERMUDA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL TROUGH. ALTHOUGH
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM IN THIS
AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM COULD ACQUIRE
SOME SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145358
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Area of disturbance near the Bahamas - 20%-20%

#3 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 19, 2013 12:32 pm

2 PM TWO up to 20%.

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE
BAHAMAS AND BERMUDA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.
ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM
IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM COULD
ACQUIRE SOME SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145358
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Area of disturbance near the Bahamas - 20%-20%

#4 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 19, 2013 6:34 pm

8 PM TWO:

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF BERMUDA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.
ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...THIS DISTURBANCE COULD ACQUIRE SOME
SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS
A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#5 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Sep 19, 2013 7:18 pm

Models develop an east coast storm out of this?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145358
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Area of disturbance near the Bahamas - 20%-20%

#6 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 20, 2013 6:34 am

8 AM TWO:

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF BERMUDA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...BUT
THIS DISTURBANCE COULD ACQUIRE SOME SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
WHILE IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145358
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Area of disturbance near the Bahamas - 20%-20%

#7 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 20, 2013 12:34 pm

2 PM TWO

A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF
BERMUDA IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS
AND SHOWERS. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE...SOME
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE SYSTEM MERGES WITH A COLD FRONT
IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145358
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Disturbance in Western Atlantic - 20%-20%

#8 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 20, 2013 6:42 pm

8 PM TWO:

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT
CONDUCIVE...SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE SYSTEM MERGES
WITH A COLD FRONT IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...DURING
THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145358
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Disturbance in Western Atlantic - 10%-10%

#9 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 21, 2013 6:43 am

8 AM TWO down to 10%.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE...DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BEFORE THE SYSTEM MERGES WITH A COLD
FRONT IN ABOUT A DAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
hurricanes1234
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2907
Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
Location: Trinidad and Tobago

Re: Disturbance in Western Atlantic - 10%-10%

#10 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sat Sep 21, 2013 8:24 am

I doubt this will form.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
0 likes   
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.
Top
CYCLONE MIKE
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2183
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 6:04 pm
Location: Gonzales, LA

Re: Disturbance in Western Atlantic - 10%-10%

#11 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Sep 21, 2013 9:00 am

cycloneye wrote:8 AM TWO down to 10%.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE...DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BEFORE THE SYSTEM MERGES WITH A COLD
FRONT IN ABOUT A DAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.


Sounds like a broken record and theme for this season :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145358
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Disturbance in Western Atlantic - 10%-10%

#12 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 21, 2013 12:29 pm

2 PM TWO. Yes,a broken record.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL LOW CENTERED ABOUT
300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA REMAIN DISORGANIZED. TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR SUNDAY
BEFORE IT BECOMES ABSORBED BY A LARGER FRONTAL TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
TheStormExpert

#13 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Sep 21, 2013 2:34 pm

No development here. Next season please! :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145358
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Disturbance in Western Atlantic - 10%-10%

#14 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 21, 2013 6:34 pm

8 PM TWO:

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL LOW CENTERED ABOUT
300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA REMAIN DISORGANIZED. TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...COULD TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR SUNDAY BEFORE IT
BECOMES ABSORBED BY A LARGER FRONTAL TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...DURING
THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
hurricanes1234
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2907
Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
Location: Trinidad and Tobago

Re: Disturbance in Western Atlantic

#15 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sun Sep 22, 2013 8:12 am

No more mention. So POOF! It's gone. :x
0 likes   
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 14 guests