Disturbance in Western Atlantic

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supercane4867
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Disturbance in Western Atlantic

#1 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Sep 19, 2013 12:41 am

Image
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE BAHAMAS ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND A SURFACE TROUGH...AND AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM IN THIS AREA DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...BUT THE LOW COULD STILL ACQUIRE
SOME SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
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Re: Area of disturbance near the Bahamas - 10%-20%

#2 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 19, 2013 6:28 am

8 AM TWO:

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE BAHAMAS
AND BERMUDA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL TROUGH. ALTHOUGH
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM IN THIS
AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM COULD ACQUIRE
SOME SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
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Re: Area of disturbance near the Bahamas - 20%-20%

#3 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 19, 2013 12:32 pm

2 PM TWO up to 20%.

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE
BAHAMAS AND BERMUDA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.
ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM
IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM COULD
ACQUIRE SOME SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
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Re: Area of disturbance near the Bahamas - 20%-20%

#4 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 19, 2013 6:34 pm

8 PM TWO:

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF BERMUDA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.
ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...THIS DISTURBANCE COULD ACQUIRE SOME
SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS
A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
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#5 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Sep 19, 2013 7:18 pm

Models develop an east coast storm out of this?
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Re: Area of disturbance near the Bahamas - 20%-20%

#6 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 20, 2013 6:34 am

8 AM TWO:

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF BERMUDA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...BUT
THIS DISTURBANCE COULD ACQUIRE SOME SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
WHILE IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
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Re: Area of disturbance near the Bahamas - 20%-20%

#7 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 20, 2013 12:34 pm

2 PM TWO

A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF
BERMUDA IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS
AND SHOWERS. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE...SOME
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE SYSTEM MERGES WITH A COLD FRONT
IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
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Re: Disturbance in Western Atlantic - 20%-20%

#8 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 20, 2013 6:42 pm

8 PM TWO:

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT
CONDUCIVE...SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE SYSTEM MERGES
WITH A COLD FRONT IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...DURING
THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
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Re: Disturbance in Western Atlantic - 10%-10%

#9 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 21, 2013 6:43 am

8 AM TWO down to 10%.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE...DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BEFORE THE SYSTEM MERGES WITH A COLD
FRONT IN ABOUT A DAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
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Re: Disturbance in Western Atlantic - 10%-10%

#10 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sat Sep 21, 2013 8:24 am

I doubt this will form.

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Re: Disturbance in Western Atlantic - 10%-10%

#11 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Sep 21, 2013 9:00 am

cycloneye wrote:8 AM TWO down to 10%.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE...DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BEFORE THE SYSTEM MERGES WITH A COLD
FRONT IN ABOUT A DAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.


Sounds like a broken record and theme for this season :lol:
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Re: Disturbance in Western Atlantic - 10%-10%

#12 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 21, 2013 12:29 pm

2 PM TWO. Yes,a broken record.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL LOW CENTERED ABOUT
300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA REMAIN DISORGANIZED. TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR SUNDAY
BEFORE IT BECOMES ABSORBED BY A LARGER FRONTAL TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
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TheStormExpert

#13 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Sep 21, 2013 2:34 pm

No development here. Next season please! :lol:
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Re: Disturbance in Western Atlantic - 10%-10%

#14 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 21, 2013 6:34 pm

8 PM TWO:

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL LOW CENTERED ABOUT
300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA REMAIN DISORGANIZED. TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...COULD TO OCCUR TONIGHT OR SUNDAY BEFORE IT
BECOMES ABSORBED BY A LARGER FRONTAL TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...DURING
THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
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Re: Disturbance in Western Atlantic

#15 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sun Sep 22, 2013 8:12 am

No more mention. So POOF! It's gone. :x
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