ATL: KAREN - Remnants - Discussion

[adam0983]

Tropical Storm Karen Is the best looking storm we have had this season. Just an opinion not a forecast.

[HURAKAN]

Tropical Storm Karen Is the best looking storm we have had this season. Just an opinion not a forecast.

Humberto has been the best looking storm this year

[LaBreeze]

Anyone care to chime in on the approaching front. I get the sense that Karen is ahead of pace than the front.

That's the scenario that local mets are stating.

[Dean4Storms]

Pretty good 19 frame live loop. Speed up for full effect.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=22&lon=-87&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=19

Can see convection beginning to pop near the center once again and also convective banding expanding well north and starting to fire west of the LLC.

[ronjon]

I think karen will continue to strengthen as she pulls northward and slows down! There's going to be a bit of a battle between karen and the mid-level ridge to its east and north over the next 24-48 hrs which will slow down the storm, perhaps to less than 5 mph. The trough will start to exert its influence in the 60 hr period. The GOM is untapped (no storms) and shear, while increasing late in the period should not be a problem over the next 1-2 days.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[HurriGuy]

Pretty good 19 frame live loop. Speed up for full effect.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=22&lon=-87&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=19

Can see convection beginning to pop near the center once again and also convective banding expanding well north and starting to fire west of the LLC.

So Dean, you think this will try and reorganize a tad to the west away from the main convection?

[HurriGuy]

I am definitely liking the way it is shaping up now looking at visible. Every frame looks better for Karen IMO.

Much more action taking place by the center.

[stormlover2013]

looked better this morning

[wxman57]

Karen needs to develop squalls near and all around the center for intensification. Currently, the center is exposed and all significant squalls are well to the southeast.

[robbielyn]

shes going to take off now she is moving away from the yucatan. Not saying cat 2-5 just that the land interaction is no longer inhibiting her.

[stormlover2013]

this thing does not look like it did this morning!!! looking worse

[robbielyn]

Karen needs to develop squalls near and all around the center for intensification. Currently, the center is exposed and all significant squalls are well to the southeast.

she will. I have faith in her.

[SFLcane]

Tropical Storm Karen Is the best looking storm we have had this season. Just an opinion not a forecast.

That lastest just a few hrs in this horrid season. Karen isnt a well developed tc infact last recon fix i saw appear to be due west of the previous fix. Money is on a exposed llc later this afternoon.

Sheared mess.. rain maker

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[hurricaneCW]

Convection is rapidly waning and shear is having a major effect on it, doesn't look good at all.

[robbielyn]

this thing does not look like it did this morning!!! looking worse

shes catching her breath after being over the yucatan. give her a chance. it will be slow going but she will get it together. Slow going cuz of the moderate sheer.

[deltadog03]

Cloud tops are certainly warming.

[Aric Dunn]

a little covection trying to get going on her se side near the center lets see if it can expand

[tailgater]

a little covection trying to get going on her se side near the center lets see if it can expand

I'd also note that ocean temps are fairly cool where she is at right now, on the north side of the Yucatan

[northtxboy]

This front that everyone is talking about my local pro mets are saying it wont be over my area till late friday night into saturday morning. I live in north texas not far from the red river and tx/ok border. how far away does a front have to be before it would start to affect karen?

[stephen23]

Could it be that Karen may have ingested some dry air some time over past few hours? It looks like some dry air has just been expelled to the east of what was the large convection area from IR sat image. The clouds being blown away from the storm. Now kind of appears like envelope is starting to expand to the west of storm.