ATL: KAREN - Remnants - Discussion

[deltadog03]

euro never makes it onshore to LA…it gets kicked East toward MOB-PNS *WEAK though* seems like that is becoming the more likely solution.

[wxman57]

I measure 3hr movement to 331 degrees at 9 kts. Plane found 35kt winds in NW quadrant. Probably 45 maybe 50 kts max to NE currently. Plane should head there soon. Definitely weaker than this morning.

[ConvergenceZone]

I measure 3hr movement to 331 degrees at 9 kts. Plane found 35kt winds in NW quadrant. Probably 45 maybe 50 kts max to NE currently. Plane should head there soon. Definitely weaker than this morning.

Just like all the storms this year, nothing can ever get going.....The theme of 2013

[Sanibel]

Gulf dry air knocks it right back.

[jhpigott]

It appears 2013 strikes again

[CrazyC83]

Pressure is dropping slowly still...

[xironman]

I was about to post the same thing on the pressure, don't know if it is a diurnal thing.

[Frank P]

There appears to be more convection trying to build around the core... mostly on the eastern half... so I don't think it is getting any worse and in fact it might be starting somewhat of a comeback atm... my opinion only..

[stormlover2013]

it looks horrible compared to this morning!!!!

[windnrain]

Pressure is indeed still dropping, not usually a sign of a weakening system.

[CrazyC83]

I think the storm itself is strengthening, but the shear has sent all the convection away, making an appearance of a weakening system.

[Aric Dunn]

pressure down 3 mb

[xironman]

Actually I thought it looked worse this morning. The 850 circulation had discontented and headed NE when the LLC was over land. Now at least it has a chance to build a vertically stacked system.

[Frank P]

Actually I thought it looked worse this morning. The 850 circulation had discontented and headed NE when the LLC was over land. Now at least it has a chance to build a vertically stacked system.

I thought it looked worse to this morning.. did just spit out an outflow boundary however on the outer northern most area...

[tolakram]

Full 30 frame live visible, speed up for full effect.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=23&lon=-88&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=30

My opinion is it is looking better and starting to build more convection near the center, but still obviously sheared.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[fwbbreeze]

descent tower on the N/NW side. Trying to get its act together!

[tropicwatch]

Full 30 frame live visible, speed up for full effect.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=23&lon=-88&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=30

My opinion is it is looking better and starting to build more convection near the center, but still obviously sheared.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Agreed, I was looking at the hires and storms appear to be wrapping around the center.
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/GANIMRM5I7S10.jpg

[Hammy]

Karen is looking terrible this afternoon. if anything the MLC and LLC continue to decouple further, and the shear is more evident then it was this morning. It may not even intensify beyond this, it probably peaked already this morning.

[CrazyC83]

Pressure is 1001 so it indeed has dropped.

[Frank P]

Full 30 frame live visible, speed up for full effect.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=23&lon=-88&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=30

My opinion is it is looking better and starting to build more convection near the center, but still obviously sheared.

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Agreed, I was looking at the hires and storms appear to be wrapping around the center.
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/GANIMRM5I7S10.jpg

and on the most recent vis sat loops that convection continues to wrap around the core.. this system is not weakening atm.... my opinion only

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.