Texas Winter 2013-2014

Winter Weather Discussion

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Lagreeneyes03
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#8781 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Thu Feb 27, 2014 12:13 am

JDawg512 wrote:It's not uncommon to have a chilly early Spring. For those concerned about the budding trees, I wouldn't worry too much if it's a light freeze, they should be fine. If the temp drops into the 20's however that's when they would see damage.

Let's not forget we are still in late winter. Meteorological Spring hasn't even arrived yet and for those that follow the season's change on the Equinox, then there is just under 4 weeks to go.


Looks like we'll be heading into the danger zone then tonight. We'll be in the low to mid 20's :(
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#8782 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 27, 2014 8:17 am

51st freeze for DFW. Now sits with 1976-77 and 1983-84 regarding freezes.

GFS remains colder than the Euro for early next week.
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Re:

#8783 Postby BrokenGlassRepublicn » Thu Feb 27, 2014 8:37 am

Texas Snowman wrote::uarrow: Want to put that to a vote? :cheesy:

(The model hugging. Wxman57 IS a wonderful forecaster, that I will never dispute. That's especially true in the tropics.)

Kinda funny. I meant to say "wishcaster" but got auto corrected to "wonderful Forecaster".
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#8784 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Thu Feb 27, 2014 8:40 am

I saw 33 on my phone here... Looking for official low of IAH.....

33 at IAH. :( One. Bloody. DEGREE.
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Re:

#8785 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 27, 2014 8:53 am

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:I saw 33 on my phone here... Looking for official low of IAH.....

33 at IAH. :( One. Bloody. DEGREE.


Next reading will be within 10-15 mins, last chance for the day! Tireman4 is working feverisly with dry ice and hand fans
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#8786 Postby wxman57 » Thu Feb 27, 2014 9:01 am

I keep saying, no more than 1 or 2 more freezes at IAH this winter...
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#8787 Postby Ralph's Weather » Thu Feb 27, 2014 9:04 am

The CFSV2 is still showing snow across much of the state and big snows to our north. I am having a hard time convincing myself that the frozen precip will make it this far south, but you never know this time of year. The GFS solution looks reasonable with storms on Sunday then some cold nights early next week.
BTW I was around 20 maybe a tad lower at my place this morning.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#8788 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 27, 2014 9:07 am

wxman57 wrote:I keep saying, no more than 1 or 2 more freezes at IAH this winter...


We know, but you had a bet earlier in the month with teamplayersblue that if kiah saw another freeze you would say you absolutely love cold weather.

Didnt make it, stopped at 33 close but no cigar
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#8789 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Thu Feb 27, 2014 9:12 am

Radiational cooling helped alot with the rain yesterday. Bummer.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#8790 Postby dhweather » Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:51 am

Ntxw wrote:
wxman57 wrote:I keep saying, no more than 1 or 2 more freezes at IAH this winter...


We know, but you had a bet earlier in the month with teamplayersblue that if kiah saw another freeze you would say you absolutely love cold weather.

Didnt make it, stopped at 33 close but no cigar


I believe that was the case. Dangerously close this morning. :wink:
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#8791 Postby TheProfessor » Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:55 am

Is there any chance that the short wave slows a bit and impacts Texas after the cold has come?
Last edited by TheProfessor on Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:56 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#8792 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 27, 2014 10:56 am

Quick comment on the ens this morning: Beware the Hudson block, storms cannot drive into ridges.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#8793 Postby dhweather » Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:30 am

Depressing.

Image
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#8794 Postby TheProfessor » Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:34 am

:uarrow: It's very depressing. :cry: I hope we get a super El Nino, so that way we can finish the year above average.
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#8795 Postby gboudx » Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:45 am

Last time I remember Lake Lavon being near to as low as it is now, we got deluge after deluge which filled it up quickly. The arc on the graph indicating it's water level was pretty steep. It got full so fast, the dam had to be opened. Let's hope we see a repeat.
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#8796 Postby opticsguy » Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:47 am

You'll notice that none of the '50s mini dust bowl years are on the list except for #10 in Waco.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#8797 Postby Tejas89 » Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:51 am

We need a summer like '07 to relieve the drought. With population, fracking, etc. coupled with this drought, we're gonna need to build some desalinization plants to pipe water all over the state.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#8798 Postby wxman57 » Thu Feb 27, 2014 12:29 pm

12Z GFS is backing off on the cold next week again. Some decent rain in Dallas-Ft. Worth this weekend, though.

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#8799 Postby ronyan » Thu Feb 27, 2014 12:40 pm

:uarrow: Still looks pretty cold for March.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#8800 Postby wxman57 » Thu Feb 27, 2014 1:21 pm

ronyan wrote::uarrow: Still looks pretty cold for March.


I agree. Yesterday's 12Z GFS had a low of 26 in Houston next week. Today's is 10 degrees less cold (I hesitate to say "warmer").
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