Texas Winter 2013-2014

Winter Weather Discussion

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TheProfessor
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#9081 Postby TheProfessor » Sun Mar 02, 2014 11:38 am

Looks like light snow here to! if this turns into a snow event could we potentially see 6-10 inches if we got 1-2" of qpf
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9082 Postby ronyan » Sun Mar 02, 2014 11:39 am

I know by most here TWC is not regarded as a serious source, but for comedic purposes:

"For Houston, 74 today but by tomorrow you will see almost a 20 degree temperature drop."

Is this a joke?
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#9083 Postby TheProfessor » Sun Mar 02, 2014 11:40 am

:uarrow: No, the Same happened to us from yesterday.
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#9084 Postby Portastorm » Sun Mar 02, 2014 11:40 am

Wntrwthrguy wrote:Already 38 here in Round Rock. What are the chances we drop to freezing or below by the time the precip ends?


Was wondering that myself ... I just took a look at several short-range models including the HRRR-RAP which is usually pretty darn good for 0-12 hours. It suggests that most of the precip will be to our east/northeast by the time we hit freezing. That model shows the AUS metro area getting very close to freezing around 6-7 p.m. and dropping below freezing around 10 p.m. I'm namely talking about Travis County here. Hill Country and northern 'burbs will obviously hit freezing sooner. Heck, it's freezing now in the far western/northwestern portions of the Hill Country.

Our best shot at any wintry precip may happen late Monday into early Tuesday.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9085 Postby orangeblood » Sun Mar 02, 2014 11:41 am

All cars, trees, and rooftops already have a solid layer of ice/sleet on them in west Fort Worth...main roads are just wet but this could get ugly if that CAPE breaks
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Re:

#9086 Postby ndale » Sun Mar 02, 2014 11:41 am

Wntrwthrguy wrote:Already 38 here in Round Rock. What are the chances we drop to freezing or below by the time the precip ends?


We're sitting at 39 with 100% humidity.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9087 Postby Portastorm » Sun Mar 02, 2014 11:43 am

PWC office in Lubbock reporting freezing rain with an air temp of 17. NWS Lubbock confirms via recent tweet.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9088 Postby orangeblood » Sun Mar 02, 2014 11:50 am

All sleet in Fort Worth, temp is now down to 25 F
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#9089 Postby Wntrwthrguy » Sun Mar 02, 2014 11:53 am

What kind of scenarios are we looking at happening Monday night into Tuesday in the Austin area?
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9090 Postby Portastorm » Sun Mar 02, 2014 11:53 am

orangeblood wrote:All sleet in Fort Worth, temp is now down to 25 F


Didn't somebody tell you/us that there would be no winter weather in Texas today?!

Poor Heat Miser. He's locked into a swirling torment of winter. :lol:
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#9091 Postby ndale » Sun Mar 02, 2014 11:54 am

Radar activity seems to be increasing in our area but so far too warm for anything but rain. I don't like cold rain but since we are in a drought I won't complain.
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#9092 Postby TheProfessor » Sun Mar 02, 2014 11:54 am

Sleet is accumulating fast here!
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#9093 Postby Tammie » Sun Mar 02, 2014 11:55 am

It's absolutely pouring sleet in Denton!!! Everything has a nice white coating. I wish there was an audio I could play to let you guys hear it. Looks like we are under a really nice band right now.
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Re:

#9094 Postby Portastorm » Sun Mar 02, 2014 11:57 am

Wntrwthrguy wrote:What kind of scenarios are we looking at happening Monday night into Tuesday in the Austin area?


The NAM has consistently shown a light freezing rain event for the Austin area during that time frame. The GFS has come in a little colder for that period last few runs as well and now shows freezing rain just to our north but keeps Austin metro area a few degrees above freezing. Not sure about the Euro.

It seemed implausible to me a few days ago but given the NAM's hot hand, I wouldn't want to argue against it right now.
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#9095 Postby Portastorm » Sun Mar 02, 2014 11:58 am

Tammie wrote:It's absolutely pouring sleet in Denton!!! Everything has a nice white coating. I wish there was an audio I could play to let you guys hear it. Looks like we are under a really nice band right now.


(cough .... cough) ... Pictures please?!
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#9096 Postby Ntxw » Sun Mar 02, 2014 12:00 pm

sleet/flizzard with howling winds at ntx pwc branch
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Re: Re:

#9097 Postby Tammie » Sun Mar 02, 2014 12:02 pm

Portastorm wrote:
Tammie wrote:It's absolutely pouring sleet in Denton!!! Everything has a nice white coating. I wish there was an audio I could play to let you guys hear it. Looks like we are under a really nice band right now.


(cough .... cough) ... Pictures please?!


If I could get Imageshack to work on my stupid smart phone, I'd be happy to oblige! On a different note, minor accidents occurring on Hwy 380 due to ice accumulations. Again, be careful people!
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9098 Postby SouthernMet » Sun Mar 02, 2014 12:07 pm

as of late last night, we weren't "suppose to be below freezing until after noon". It's 23 at Fort Worth alliance & 25 at meacham and not even noon.

Meanwhile 15z rap spits out widespread 2" of qpf over dfw.
What the 15z rap is showing even 4 hours out is downright scary. The Cap gets SHATTERED with convective sleetstorm right over dfw
Last edited by SouthernMet on Sun Mar 02, 2014 12:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9099 Postby orangeblood » Sun Mar 02, 2014 12:09 pm

Portastorm wrote:
orangeblood wrote:All sleet in Fort Worth, temp is now down to 25 F


Didn't somebody tell you/us that there would be no winter weather in Texas today?!

Poor Heat Miser. He's locked into a swirling torment of winter. :lol:


Speaking of, he's gone MIA

Sleet as the predominant precip type speaks volumes to how cold this air mass is, it's overcoming a 5,000 ft warm nose of some 50 plus deg F
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9100 Postby srainhoutx » Sun Mar 02, 2014 12:10 pm

Thunder reported in Lamar County N of Paris and also in Wood County just E of Emory. Likely thunder sleet.
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