Texas Winter 2013-2014

[uptowndallas]

Sunshine and blue skies are peeking out in Dallas as clouds are clearing.

[TrekkerCC]

Unofficially, it appears DFW received 0.06 inch QPF from this event....these models are horrendous with qpf amounts sometimes.

Remember, orangeblood, that this was not a area-wide coverage, it was a convective event (like thunderstorms, not everyone is going to get the inch of rain) I suspect that many areas that got impacted by the heavy sleet got more than 0.06" of liquid and the ratios between sleet to liquid is about 3:1 or so (from what I read). So I am assuming a lot of conflicting reports (where people got 0.50" sleet+ and some people got 0.10" of sleet or less).

[iorange55]

I guess I owe Colleen Coyle an apology...

[JDawg512]

Okay I know I said I was done posting in the winter thread but I can report that we are getting a wintery mix including small snow flakes in South Austin. Ive been outside moving plants inside and covering others and at first I thought I was just seeing things but sure enough I can confirm that it is snow. Its floating very lightly down and the flakes are tiny and obviously not sticking, but I never would have thought Id see snow falling in March here. I must say I knew this front was going to be cold with freezing temps but never thought it would be like this.

[Meteorcane]

This is a pretty incredible state temperature range

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

Bevo, Ms. Screamer.....

Thank you kind sir! I will be keeping a close eye on how things go down there.

This post had me pretty excited.....

[orangeblood]

I guess I owe Colleen Coyle an apology...

Geez, no kidding....we had very very isolated > 0.10 amounts across North Texas but that's about it

[Ntxw]

Alright lets clear out this thing, clear skies and go for that 10F! January in March continues...

[gpsnowman]

I consider anything in March extra bonus, don't expect it but certainly love it. What amazes me more than anything is the fact that it is 20 degrees currently in GP. How far will it go tonight? Amazing for early March.

[Ntxw]

I consider anything in March extra bonus, don't expect it but certainly love it. What amazes me more than anything is the fact that it is 20 degrees currently in GP. How far will it go tonight? Amazing for early March.

20 on a March afternoon at that! We're just so accustomed to strange cold this year to understand but in a few years we will look back and go, omg it did that in March???

[funster]

Some of the short sleet bursts were impressive today. Will watch to see if we catch that record low.

[dhweather]

Just think, if we had not had that front, and had rich gulf moisture in place with no cap, we're probably talking about a major severe weather event with this dynamic system. As Ntxw noted, Winter down low, Spring up top.

[SouthernMet]

Meanwhile... GFS/NAM in unusual agreement of very high freezing rain accumulations for central texas, mostly south of I-20 for tuesday

sref also on board & a little further north

[Texas Snowman]

It's 17 in Denison with breaking clouds. We're aiming for single digits here tonight.

In March.

[Ntxw]

Just think, if we had not had that front, and had rich gulf moisture in place with no cap, we're probably talking about a major severe weather event with this dynamic system. As Ntxw noted, Winter down low, Spring up top.

I agree, if the air wasn't so cold it would've been a decent severe weather outbreak. This probably the story of this spring, we may see several severe weather outlooks and potentials only to be undercut by fronts and cool air before the big ones fire. That's the unfortunate loss of such a cold regime from a cold winter as the source region takes awhile to warm up enough.

MOS, GFS, NAM all agree around 12-15F for the DFW area. Need clouds to clear and winds to calm a little for that 10F.

Bundle up

***

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
611 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2014

TXZ093-094-103-104-118>120-133-030300-
/O.CAN.KFWD.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140303T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFWD.WC.Y.0003.140303T0600Z-140303T1400Z/
GRAYSON-FANNIN-DENTON-COLLIN-TARRANT-DALLAS-ROCKWALL-JOHNSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SHERMAN...DENISON...BONHAM...DENTON...
LEWISVILLE...FLOWER MOUND...THE COLONY...PLANO...FORT WORTH...
ARLINGTON...DALLAS...ROCKWALL...CLEBURNE...BURLESON
611 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
8 AM CST MONDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WARNING.

* LOCATION...THIS STATEMENT IS FOR THE COUNTIES OF GRAYSON...
FANNIN...DENTON...COLLIN...TARRANT...DALLAS...ROCKWALL...AND
JOHNSON.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILL VALUES OF 0 TO -5 DEGREES ARE
LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* OTHER IMPACTS...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT.
AT THESE TEMPERATURES...ANY ICY CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES...
OVERPASSES...ROADWAYS...AND ELEVATED SURFACES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...ANY WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS
WILL LIKELY FREEZE MAKING FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

[Ntxw]

latest winter precip in dfw that i could find on record was april 14 1928 with a trace of snow...

just a fun fact

Hey hey now don't you be getting ideas into their heads! You can't reveal such things until it is time! just kidding.

Spring is coming, enjoy the cold because it's probably the last time we see teens this winter. EPO is going to be positive once this week is over.

[ronyan]

The front has just moved through my area, temp falling rapidly. 10 degrees in 10 minutes.

[ronyan]

Just think, if we had not had that front, and had rich gulf moisture in place with no cap, we're probably talking about a major severe weather event with this dynamic system. As Ntxw noted, Winter down low, Spring up top.

I agree, if the air wasn't so cold it would've been a decent severe weather outbreak. This probably the story of this spring, we may see several severe weather outlooks and potentials only to be undercut by fronts and cool air before the big ones fire. That's the unfortunate loss of such a cold regime from a cold winter as the source region takes awhile to warm up enough.

MOS, GFS, NAM all agree around 12-15F for the DFW area. Need clouds to clear and winds to calm a little for that 10F.

Bundle up

***

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
611 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2014

TXZ093-094-103-104-118>120-133-030300-
/O.CAN.KFWD.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140303T0300Z/
/O.CON.KFWD.WC.Y.0003.140303T0600Z-140303T1400Z/
GRAYSON-FANNIN-DENTON-COLLIN-TARRANT-DALLAS-ROCKWALL-JOHNSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SHERMAN...DENISON...BONHAM...DENTON...
LEWISVILLE...FLOWER MOUND...THE COLONY...PLANO...FORT WORTH...
ARLINGTON...DALLAS...ROCKWALL...CLEBURNE...BURLESON
611 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
8 AM CST MONDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WARNING.

* LOCATION...THIS STATEMENT IS FOR THE COUNTIES OF GRAYSON...
FANNIN...DENTON...COLLIN...TARRANT...DALLAS...ROCKWALL...AND
JOHNSON.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILL VALUES OF 0 TO -5 DEGREES ARE
LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* OTHER IMPACTS...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT.
AT THESE TEMPERATURES...ANY ICY CONDITIONS ON BRIDGES...
OVERPASSES...ROADWAYS...AND ELEVATED SURFACES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...ANY WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS
WILL LIKELY FREEZE MAKING FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

How do you view the MOS guidance Ntxw?

[South Texas Storms]

I got some freezing rain and sleet here about an hour ago here in College Station with some ice on my windshield.

[WeatherDuck]

Meanwhile... GFS/NAM in unusual agreement of very high freezing rain accumulations for central texas, mostly south of I-20 for tuesday

sref also on board & a little further north

How much accumulation might be expected for Williamson County, just north of Austin?