Texas Winter 2013-2014

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Lagreeneyes03
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9741 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Wed Mar 05, 2014 12:25 pm

Wxman would you please do a meteo for DFW on the new GFS run? I need some good news (warmth!!!)
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#9742 Postby TheProfessor » Wed Mar 05, 2014 12:29 pm

:uarrow: that's only good news if their is rain and thunderstorms with that warmth.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9743 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Wed Mar 05, 2014 1:10 pm

:uarrow: I'll take either. I have a closet full of spring clothes that need to be worn. I'm over this cold and no snow.
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#9744 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Mar 05, 2014 1:50 pm

The 144 hour EURO run shows a rather potent 998 mb Low emerging into the Southern Plains. This is within a week away, but something for you all out in Texas to keep an eye on, especially with the potential of severe weather from this system is this run comes close to verifying.

Image
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Re:

#9745 Postby SaskatchewanScreamer » Wed Mar 05, 2014 2:15 pm

gboudx wrote:From the DFW NWS:

WITH SNOW FLURRIES ON MONDAY...DFW AIRPORT RECORDED ITS 14TH CALENDAR
DAY WITH WINTRY PRECIPITATION THIS SEASON. THIS IS THE MOST IN ANY
SEASON SINCE 1978-1979 (WHEN THERE WERE 17 DAYS).

AT WACO...THERE HAVE BEEN 10 DAYS WITH WINTRY PRECIPITATION. THIS IS
THE MOST SINCE 1987-1988 (WHEN THERE WERE 11 DAYS).

NOTE: THESE DATA INCLUDE ALL OCCURRENCES OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION...
SNOW AND SLEET AS WELL AS FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE. A
SEASON FOR SNOWFALL (AND OTHER WINTRY PRECIPITATION)...FREEZES...AND
HEATING DEGREE DAYS IS THE 12-MONTH PERIOD FROM JULY 1 TO JUNE 30 OF
THE FOLLOWING YEAR.


I believe the bolded part also answers gpsnowman's question on the previous page.

gpsnowman wrote:Another question. The freeze numbers, are they for just the DJF period or are the numbers from the start of winter to the end? We had freezes in November and obviously some to start March. Just didn't know if those were included in the overall totals. Thanks.
[/quote]

Does this mean Ntxw owes me two steaks now????? :D
(one being from a previous year)
Last edited by SaskatchewanScreamer on Wed Mar 05, 2014 2:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9746 Postby dhweather » Wed Mar 05, 2014 2:25 pm

Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Wxman would you please do a meteo for DFW on the new GFS run? I need some good news (warmth!!!)


It's coming, just slowly.


Image

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9747 Postby wxman57 » Wed Mar 05, 2014 2:57 pm

Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Wxman would you please do a meteo for DFW on the new GFS run? I need some good news (warmth!!!)


This is a forum where we celebrate the cold weather of winter. There won't be any of that warming up talk around here! 12Z Euro is in now. It's still indicating 850mb temperature anomalies 2-4C below normal this Sunday and a big cool-down next Wednesday with anomalies 11-13C below normal. It even indicates a large area of 2-6" of snow across central Oklahoma on Sunday. No snow predicted across OK or TX with the bigger shot of cold air next Wednesday, but the models don't handle these systems out that far very well. Perhaps we'll see another ice/snow storm across Texas next week!
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9748 Postby BrokenGlassRepublicn » Wed Mar 05, 2014 3:01 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Wxman would you please do a meteo for DFW on the new GFS run? I need some good news (warmth!!!)


This is a forum where we celebrate the cold weather of winter. There won't be any of that warming up talk around here! 12Z Euro is in now. It's still indicating 850mb temperature anomalies 2-4C below normal this Sunday and a big cool-down next Wednesday with anomalies 11-13C below normal. It even indicates a large area of 2-6" of snow across central Oklahoma on Sunday. No snow predicted across OK or TX with the bigger shot of cold air next Wednesday, but the models don't handle these systems out that far very well. Perhaps we'll see another ice/snow storm across Texas next week!

:lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9749 Postby Ntxw » Wed Mar 05, 2014 3:05 pm

strong westerlies aided by typhoon faxai, highly amplified event could occur next week over the US controlled by +PNA and stj. There is merit to northjaxpro's post.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9750 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Mar 05, 2014 3:49 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Wxman would you please do a meteo for DFW on the new GFS run? I need some good news (warmth!!!)


This is a forum where we celebrate the cold weather of winter. There won't be any of that warming up talk around here! 12Z Euro is in now. It's still indicating 850mb temperature anomalies 2-4C below normal this Sunday and a big cool-down next Wednesday with anomalies 11-13C below normal. It even indicates a large area of 2-6" of snow across central Oklahoma on Sunday. No snow predicted across OK or TX with the bigger shot of cold air next Wednesday, but the models don't handle these systems out that far very well. Perhaps we'll see another ice/snow storm across Texas next week!


For this, I must protest. I must wonder, as I look outside, is my life upside down? I must ask, am I drunk? I must ponder, well how did I get here? I have no idea what the heck is going on. I must admit, I have totally lost my mind. Thank you Wxman 57. I am officially checking into the looney bin. Give my regards to the Gulf Freeway. Thanks. :)
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#9751 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Mar 05, 2014 4:40 pm

We need one more event to get us beyond 500 pages! :D
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#9752 Postby TheProfessor » Wed Mar 05, 2014 5:13 pm

:uarrow: yeah, but I want it to be a state wide snow event, not ice or sleet.Let's try to get 6 inches for Austin, DFW, Houston, and San Antonio! :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9753 Postby LaBreeze » Wed Mar 05, 2014 5:26 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Wxman would you please do a meteo for DFW on the new GFS run? I need some good news (warmth!!!)


This is a forum where we celebrate the cold weather of winter. There won't be any of that warming up talk around here! 12Z Euro is in now. It's still indicating 850mb temperature anomalies 2-4C below normal this Sunday and a big cool-down next Wednesday with anomalies 11-13C below normal. It even indicates a large area of 2-6" of snow across central Oklahoma on Sunday. No snow predicted across OK or TX with the bigger shot of cold air next Wednesday, but the models don't handle these systems out that far very well. Perhaps we'll see another ice/snow storm across Texas next week!

Are you thinking just northern Texas for next week? If not, how far south?
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#9754 Postby dhweather » Wed Mar 05, 2014 7:18 pm

Man, the GFS for 2609 hours doesn't have a cat 5 in the gulf. :grr:


What a lousy model :wink:
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#9755 Postby dhweather » Wed Mar 05, 2014 7:21 pm

The 12Z euro has a system starting up just east of here, really wrapping up and becoming a monster up the east coast. We'd probably get another freeze on the backside of it, but that's about it. <.25 QPF for the entire run for most of Texas.
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#9756 Postby TheProfessor » Wed Mar 05, 2014 7:29 pm

:uarrow: maybe the model is a bit slow with the development of the storm.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9757 Postby KeriCarter » Wed Mar 05, 2014 7:34 pm

Just hoping for rain but come upon this.

Texarkana:

Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1211 PM CST WED MAR 5 2014

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>112-061200-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-MCCURTAIN-RED RIVER-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-
1211 PM CST WED MAR 5 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEAST
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE
WEST...WITH SCATTERED AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN DEVELOPING OVER EXTREME
NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS
EVENING. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT SHOULD REMAIN JUST ABOVE FREEZING
THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE DURATION OF THE PRECIPITATION...ALTHOUGH A
BRIEF CHANGEOVER TO LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET CAN NOT BE RULED
OUT LATE TONIGHT. HOWEVER...LITTLE IF ANY ICE ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED SINCE THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE DIMINISHING LATE...AND
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN JUST ABOVE FREEZING. HOWEVER...SHOULD
TEMPERATURES REACH FREEZING WHILE THE RAIN IS ONGOING...PATCHY ICE
ON ELEVATED OBJECTS SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH MID MORNING THURSDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE APPROACH OF OUR NEXT SYSTEM
AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. HOWEVER...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9758 Postby SaskatchewanScreamer » Wed Mar 05, 2014 9:21 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Wxman would you please do a meteo for DFW on the new GFS run? I need some good news (warmth!!!)


This is a forum where we celebrate the cold weather of winter. There won't be any of that warming up talk around here! 12Z Euro is in now. It's still indicating 850mb temperature anomalies 2-4C below normal this Sunday and a big cool-down next Wednesday with anomalies 11-13C below normal. It even indicates a large area of 2-6" of snow across central Oklahoma on Sunday. No snow predicted across OK or TX with the bigger shot of cold air next Wednesday, but the models don't handle these systems out that far very well. Perhaps we'll see another ice/snow storm across Texas next week!


Now I understand why you were trying to scare me off turning my fans on! :wink:

Oh and I do think you will be honest .... did Ntxw get his snow in Dallas?

He seems to be ignoring me lately......
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#9759 Postby TheProfessor » Wed Mar 05, 2014 9:34 pm

I'm surprised no one is talking about the band of storms moving towards parts of the metroplex.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9760 Postby Ntxw » Wed Mar 05, 2014 9:59 pm

SaskatchewanScreamer wrote:Now I understand why you were trying to scare me off turning my fans on! :wink:

Oh and I do think you will be honest .... did Ntxw get his snow in Dallas?

He seems to be ignoring me lately......


I'm in too much of a blissful state this winter thanks to all your cold to notice! Just kidding! Good work and no I haven't had my good snow yet. I've seen it all though perhaps you can work us up one more piece of magic? Bevo says pretty please :cheesy:. I probably should pay the Canadian thread a visit, haven't been in there since I brought you guys the petition wxman57 put early in the winter on your inability to control your cold air.
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