Moderator: S2k Moderators
stormcruisin wrote:Been following the Wespac for a few season's it only needs a strong wave and it has the potential to spawn multi TY,s also it not even peak time of the season there yet so don't be fooled Wespac will again kick butt and hopefully Guam is not the target this season. Its been suggested by the unofficial agency Guam is a 300% chance for a direct landfall this season.
hurricanes1234 wrote:Does anyone think that the EPAC could be more active than the WPAC this year in terms of ACE and everything? I'm not saying it would, but just throwing the possibility out, in the event that this lack of activity continues for the next few months.
hurricanes1234 wrote:The WPAC continues to fail to produce storms and somehow I have a feeling that at least for the first few months, the EPAC will be way ahead of it. It's already ahead of it, since all other basins in the northern hemisphere are below average because of shear, dry air, high pressure, etc. I guess the WPAC ACE must have fallen to below 30% of the year to date by now?
The preceding was not an official forecast (see below).
euro6208 wrote:
Euro at 192 hours still developing a very large monsoon type depression in the philippine sea with a tail of deep convection stretching all the way to the philippines and bay of bengal. Develops it into a tropical storm, recurves and pounds southern japan.
GFS 12Z showing this...much stronger...down to 980 mb and recurves...and plenty of rain for guam and the pacific islands
stormcruisin wrote:
Looking like a real cranker.
Brings it to 952 mbar. It's unusual that models make stuff this strong.
Users browsing this forum: 869MB, AnnularCane, HurricaneFan, hurricanes1234, LarryWx, USTropics and 60 guests
