ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[bahamaswx]

Did recon just measure double wind maxima?

Edit: Never mind. Misread coordinates.

[SouthernBreeze]

Heck….it is going due NORTH. imo

I'm right at NC/SC line on coast & I've been watching closely... seems to be slowing, but heading North to me too! Awaiting the turn any moment now...

[TheStormExpert]

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/GOES15552014184z3ZjcD.jpg

Looks rather impressive and intense!

[SunnyThoughts]

Did recon just measure double wind maxima?

Not sure, but within the last couple frames of satellite view, something definitely happened within the eyewall...sort of elongated east to west maybe? Certainly not the smaller eyelike feature we saw earlier.

[tropicwatch]

Has the front, or whatever it is that is suppose to help turn the storm more to the East, stalled out..or moving slower than expected? Is that why it hasn't turned as of yet?

[windnrain]

At this rate, I'm wondering if Wilmington is not going to be the landfall spot.

[HurriGuy]

NHC might have to make a special advisory? I see this going into land more near Wilmington. Or between Wilmington and Morehead?

[wxman57]

Not sure, but within the last couple frames of satellite view, something definitely happened within the eyewall...sort of elongated east to west maybe? Certainly not the smaller eyelike feature we saw earlier.

What you're seeing is simply higher clouds partially obscuring the eye at times. It's not elongating.

[SunnyThoughts]

Thanks panamatropicwatch for posting that. Front looks to be coming..hopefully fast enough to turn it before landfall. Sure looks like its going to be close though.

[Bocadude85]

NHC might have to make a special advisory? I see this going into land more near Wilmington. Or between Wilmington and Morehead?

I do think the center is going to get pretty darn close to the Southport/Bald Head Island area. IMO

[wxman57]

NHC might have to make a special advisory? I see this going into land more near Wilmington. Or between Wilmington and Morehead?

It should be making the NNE turn quite soon. It's still on the forecast track.

[RL3AO]

Wilmington had been in the cone for days. It should not surprise anyone if it makes landfall that far west

[SunnyThoughts]

Not sure, but within the last couple frames of satellite view, something definitely happened within the eyewall...sort of elongated east to west maybe? Certainly not the smaller eyelike feature we saw earlier.

What you're seeing is simply higher clouds partially obscuring the eye at times. It's not elongating.

Thanks for explanation..appreciate it.

[Bocadude85]

Wilmington had been in the cone for days. It should not surprise anyone if it makes landfall that far west

Very true. Though Wilmington is not under a Hurricane Warning.

[Aric Dunn]

even if it begun to make the gradual turn more.. still close enough to put the Wilmington area in portions of the nw eyewal...

[brunota2003]

Looking at recon, they've been finding 70 knot winds at 10,000 ft (flight level) not too far south of the coast...using a 0.8 reduction yields 56 knot surface winds (though SFMR was closer to 40 knots at the time). If those winds start being transported more efficiently to the surface, they might need to extend the hurricane warning southward...especially if Arthur gets closer to the coast than currently thought.

[Aric Dunn]

some good rotation coming ashore just east of bald head beach .. may be a water spout coming ashore..

[Aric Dunn]

some good rotation coming ashore just east of bald head beach .. may be a water spout coming ashore..

tornado warning out for it finally..

[kat61]

some good rotation coming ashore just east of bald head beach .. may be a water spout coming ashore..

New Hanover and Brunswick county have tornado warning.. looks like Fort Fisher near the ferry

[Aric Dunn]

pressure from recon 978.9 but had 20kt winds with it.. likely a little lower