ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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ravyrn
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2081 Postby ravyrn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 12:56 pm

71 knots is the highest SFMR I've seen in the SE quad. AF301 is heading back to NE quad right now and NOAA has a bird in the sky now heading into the SW quad from Florida. We should have plenty of data to watch as Arthur intensifies.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2082 Postby Batt2fd » Thu Jul 03, 2014 12:57 pm

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#2083 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 12:58 pm

Im getting the word the euro shift to left again...
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2084 Postby theworld » Thu Jul 03, 2014 12:59 pm

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Last edited by theworld on Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2085 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Jul 03, 2014 12:59 pm

Numerous 75-80kt flight level winds reported in the eastern side well away from eyewall
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2086 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:01 pm

...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING ALONG THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...
2:00 PM EDT Thu Jul 3
Location: 32.9°N 78.3°W
Moving: NNE at 13 mph
Min pressure: 980 mb
Max sustained: 90 mph
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#2087 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:02 pm

That bit of dry air nearly cleared out... convection firing again on the NE eyewall

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2088 Postby ravyrn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:02 pm

supercane4867 wrote:Numerous 75-80kt flight level winds reported in the eastern side well away from eyewall


But only 46-48 knots @ surface
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#2089 Postby Time_Zone » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:03 pm

Looks to my untrained eye's he ingested some dry air. Most likely slowed the intensification process momentarily. Also looks like Arthur has pretty much spit it all out of his core relatively quickly. Wouldn't be surprised to see him start intensifying relatively quickly again.

Just my opinion.
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#2090 Postby Time_Zone » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:04 pm

EDIT : Double post.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2091 Postby ravyrn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:10 pm

Alyono, what is NOAA9's mission?
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2092 Postby Batt2fd » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:11 pm

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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2093 Postby NC George » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:11 pm

The first official raindrops from Arthur have reached the Greenville, NC area. Pressure has dropped 1 mb to 1020.
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#2094 Postby Alyono » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:14 pm

NOAA9 is synoptic surveillance
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#2095 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:20 pm

looks like it wobbled a little to the left the last hour... the wobbles are quite important at this stage.


eyewall funky from that dry air in there.. but still is contracting some.
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#2096 Postby AEWspotter » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:21 pm

Dry air is mostly mixed out in the E side of the system. Definitely a clear intensifying trend now. Nice little counter-clockwise wiggle in the visible as Arthur that marks a realignment of its circulation at all levels...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2097 Postby OuterBanker » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:24 pm

Nerves are frayed, too many stayed, gas is gone.
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#2098 Postby NDG » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:24 pm

What a beauty form above.

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Re:

#2099 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:25 pm

AEWspotter wrote:Dry air is mostly mixed out in the E side of the system. Definitely a clear intensifying trend now. Nice little counter-clockwise wiggle in the visible as Arthur that marks a realignment of its circulation at all levels...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif



yeah the dry air making the inner core a little disrupted. but wont be for long very deep convection firing on the ne side.

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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2100 Postby KBBOCA » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:26 pm

OuterBanker wrote:Nerves are frayed, too many stayed, gas is gone.


That's similar to a Haiku (Japanese poem) in its structure and poignancy.
Stay safe. Praying that those who could not leave will find safe shelter.
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