ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion
Recon found 82 knot SFMR and 977 mb. Arthur is deepening. Looks like the dry air is done slowing his intensification.
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oh just as suspected it has wobbled back left again.. all these wobbles bring it closer to the wilmington area
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion
Pressure on the fall again in #Arthur. Latest recon pass ~2mb lower than the pass from 90 minutes ago.
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Aric Dunn wrote:oh just as suspected it has wobbled back left again.. all these wobbles bring it closer to the wilmington area
Hate to see this. Hope everyone stays safe!
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion
There is the 977.2 pressure.


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Re: Re:
Kingarabian wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:oh just as suspected it has wobbled back left again.. all these wobbles bring it closer to the wilmington area
Hate to see this. Hope everyone stays safe!
they dont even have a hurricane warning...
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Re: Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:Kingarabian wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:oh just as suspected it has wobbled back left again.. all these wobbles bring it closer to the wilmington area
Hate to see this. Hope everyone stays safe!
they dont even have a hurricane warning...
What about watches? All my relatives living within Wilmington are telling me that not everyone is taking this seriously.
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Time_Zone wrote:eye clearing out.....dry air looks to be pretty much gone.
Expect this thing to intensify at a fast pace now unless it decides to ingest even more dry air...which wouldn't be surprising with this storm lol.
I wouldn't consider dry air to be completely gone, at least until Arthur moistens up that hole in its central convection that you can easily pick out in the radar loops out of Wilmington.

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If this motion continues.. the heavy outer eywall convection will be rotating into .. south point, carolina beach then wilmington over the next couple hour..
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The highest winds they were finding an hour or so ago were only in the 80 mph range and now it's back to 90, and with pressure down as far as it is in short time, this may be the start of a faster rate of intensification. We can only hope that if this is the case that it will lead to a right shift in the track.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion
Latest radar images show quite a bit of dry air in the northwest quadrant. Might keep this thing from intensifying much more.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion
Talking about RI, here is one example of a storm that looks somewhat similar to Arthur that occurred in the EPac in 2011 (note the "cut" in the storm going from outside the storm into the center).
http://imageshack.com/a/img853/6365/0eyv.jpg
Kenneth at 13:30 UTC on Nov 21, 2011
This is Kenneth in the EPac in 2011, a few hours after the above image (about 12 hours, to be exact) on Nov 22, 2011 at 02:15 UTC.
http://imageshack.com/a/img850/7870/psuu.jpg
According to the BT, Kenneth was a 65 knot hurricane in the first image, and the second image is between the BT times of 00 UTC and 06 UTC (95 knots and 110 knots, respectively).
Will Arthur do the same? Doubtful, but it is something interesting to note.
http://imageshack.com/a/img853/6365/0eyv.jpg
Kenneth at 13:30 UTC on Nov 21, 2011
This is Kenneth in the EPac in 2011, a few hours after the above image (about 12 hours, to be exact) on Nov 22, 2011 at 02:15 UTC.
http://imageshack.com/a/img850/7870/psuu.jpg
According to the BT, Kenneth was a 65 knot hurricane in the first image, and the second image is between the BT times of 00 UTC and 06 UTC (95 knots and 110 knots, respectively).
Will Arthur do the same? Doubtful, but it is something interesting to note.
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