ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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galaxy401
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#2121 Postby galaxy401 » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:47 pm

82 knots SMFR now. Pressure slightly lower.
Last edited by galaxy401 on Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2122 Postby Alyono » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:47 pm

its a legit 80 KT now
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#2123 Postby NDG » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:48 pm

Getting better and better looking on vis sat.

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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2124 Postby ravyrn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:48 pm

Recon found 82 knot SFMR and 977 mb. Arthur is deepening. Looks like the dry air is done slowing his intensification.
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#2125 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:49 pm

oh just as suspected it has wobbled back left again.. all these wobbles bring it closer to the wilmington area
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2126 Postby torrea40 » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:49 pm

Pressure on the fall again in #Arthur. Latest recon pass ~2mb lower than the pass from 90 minutes ago.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2127 Postby SunnyThoughts » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:50 pm

[img]Image[/img] Eye looking much better for sure.
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#2128 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:51 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:oh just as suspected it has wobbled back left again.. all these wobbles bring it closer to the wilmington area

Hate to see this. Hope everyone stays safe!
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2129 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:52 pm

There is the 977.2 pressure.

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#2130 Postby Time_Zone » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:52 pm

eye clearing out.....dry air looks to be pretty much gone.

Expect this thing to intensify at a fast pace now unless it decides to ingest even more dry air...which wouldn't be surprising with this storm lol.
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Re: Re:

#2131 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:52 pm

Kingarabian wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:oh just as suspected it has wobbled back left again.. all these wobbles bring it closer to the wilmington area

Hate to see this. Hope everyone stays safe!


they dont even have a hurricane warning...
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#2132 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:52 pm

How much longer until it makes landfall?
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Re: Re:

#2133 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:53 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:oh just as suspected it has wobbled back left again.. all these wobbles bring it closer to the wilmington area

Hate to see this. Hope everyone stays safe!


they dont even have a hurricane warning...


What about watches? All my relatives living within Wilmington are telling me that not everyone is taking this seriously.
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Re:

#2134 Postby TheAustinMan » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:54 pm

Time_Zone wrote:eye clearing out.....dry air looks to be pretty much gone.

Expect this thing to intensify at a fast pace now unless it decides to ingest even more dry air...which wouldn't be surprising with this storm lol.


I wouldn't consider dry air to be completely gone, at least until Arthur moistens up that hole in its central convection that you can easily pick out in the radar loops out of Wilmington.

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#2135 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:55 pm

If this motion continues.. the heavy outer eywall convection will be rotating into .. south point, carolina beach then wilmington over the next couple hour..
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#2136 Postby Hammy » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:55 pm

The highest winds they were finding an hour or so ago were only in the 80 mph range and now it's back to 90, and with pressure down as far as it is in short time, this may be the start of a faster rate of intensification. We can only hope that if this is the case that it will lead to a right shift in the track.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2137 Postby znel52 » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:56 pm

Latest radar images show quite a bit of dry air in the northwest quadrant. Might keep this thing from intensifying much more.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2138 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:57 pm

Talking about RI, here is one example of a storm that looks somewhat similar to Arthur that occurred in the EPac in 2011 (note the "cut" in the storm going from outside the storm into the center).
http://imageshack.com/a/img853/6365/0eyv.jpg
Kenneth at 13:30 UTC on Nov 21, 2011

This is Kenneth in the EPac in 2011, a few hours after the above image (about 12 hours, to be exact) on Nov 22, 2011 at 02:15 UTC.
http://imageshack.com/a/img850/7870/psuu.jpg

According to the BT, Kenneth was a 65 knot hurricane in the first image, and the second image is between the BT times of 00 UTC and 06 UTC (95 knots and 110 knots, respectively).

Will Arthur do the same? Doubtful, but it is something interesting to note.
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#2139 Postby SunnyThoughts » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:57 pm

Weather channel saying its making the turn towards the NE now...and also spoke about the dry air slot on the radar.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2140 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Jul 03, 2014 1:58 pm

Area of high reflectivity building on NE eyewall

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