ATL: ARTHUR - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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#2241 Postby NDG » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:23 pm

Cape Fear is getting wind gusts to 67 mph.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2242 Postby hurricanedude » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:23 pm

Lol aric...I was asking ur opinion from what u have seen
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2243 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:23 pm

Arthur's eyewall is going to get pretty darn close to Wilmington.


http://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php?rid=ltx&product=N0R&loop=yes
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#2244 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:24 pm

more dry air being pulled in..
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#2245 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:25 pm

TheAustinMan wrote:Long Beach, NC may be the first land location (besides Grand Bahama Island a few days ago) to get a glimpse of Arthur's centralized convection.

Image



Just to clarify to avoid confusion in case another name is mentioned. Long Beach, NC doesn't exist anymore. Yaupon Beach and Long Beach consolidated a while back and are now called Oak Island, NC. For reference west to eastand then north up the coast are the beaches/cities in this order. Oak Island, Caswell Beach, Southport (Bald head Island is a couple miles SE from Southport), Kure Beach, Carolina Beach, Wrightsville Beach, and then Topsail Island. Wilmington is a couple miles inland from Wrightsville Beach. Also, Cape Fear isn't really a city or town. It is more of a general area. There is the Cape Fear river mouth, which Southport sits on and Bald Head Island is right at the entrance. Kure Beach sits on the opposite side of the Cape Fear River from Southport, with Wilmington sitting a few miles up the river from Kure Beach.
Last edited by WilmingtonSandbar on Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2246 Postby NDG » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:28 pm

Looks like pressure is down at least another mb down to 976 per recon raw data.
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#2247 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:28 pm

se to nw pass from recon did not find any stronger winds but pressure down to near 975
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Re: Re:

#2248 Postby Okibeach » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:28 pm

WilmingtonSandbar wrote:
TheAustinMan wrote:Long Beach, NC may be the first land location (besides Grand Bahama Island a few days ago) to get a glimpse of Arthur's centralized convection.

Image



Just to clarify to avoid confusion in case another name is mentioned. Long Beach, NC doesn't exist anymore. Yaupon Beach and Long Beach consolidated a while back and are now called Oak Island, NC. For reference west to eastand then north up the coast are the beaches/cities in this order. Oak Island, Caswell Beach, Southport (Bald head Island is a couple miles SE from Southport), Kure Beach, Carolina Beach, Wrightsville Beach, and then Topsail Island. Wilmington is a couple miles inland from Wrightsville Beach.

Seems like that will always be the name. Lol. Wind starting to change up a bit, was SSE now pretty much East. Can't believe the OI bridge is still open.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2249 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:28 pm

Kohlecane wrote:
Kohlecane wrote:Can someone post a good link for a vis. And an IR thank you

Preferably a loop


http://www.wect.com/ will probably have the best local radar and commentary at this time. It is one of the main stations out of Wilmington, and they probably have the best meteorology team in the area.
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Re: Re:

#2250 Postby TheAustinMan » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:29 pm

WilmingtonSandbar wrote:
TheAustinMan wrote:Long Beach, NC may be the first land location (besides Grand Bahama Island a few days ago) to get a glimpse of Arthur's centralized convection.

Image



Just to clarify to avoid confusion in case another name is mentioned. Long Beach, NC doesn't exist anymore. Yaupon Beach and Long Beach consolidated a while back and are now called Oak Island, NC. For reference west to eastand then north up the coast are the beaches/cities in this order. Oak Island, Caswell Beach, Southport (Bald head Island is a couple miles SE from Southport), Kure Beach, Carolina Beach, Wrightsville Beach, and then Topsail Island. Wilmington is a couple miles inland from Wrightsville Beach.


Thanks for the clarification. I'm obviously not a North Carolina native, :P
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2251 Postby chaser1 » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:34 pm

Yeah, there‘s still some dry air entrainment, however I think overall Arthur is looking pretty healthy and would assume the eye to tighten up a little as it approaches the coast later this evening. I'm guessing it‘ll peak right around 105 mph during the next 6 hours
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2252 Postby seahawkjd » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:35 pm

Getting a little nervous about the scaffolding they have on the water tower behind my place.

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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2253 Postby TexasF6 » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:37 pm

Looks like an ERC could be happening now....










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#2254 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:40 pm

974.3 from the noaa plane
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2255 Postby ravyrn » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:40 pm

Pressure seems to be down to 974mb now.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2256 Postby MaineWeatherNut » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:40 pm

TexasF6 wrote:Looks like an ERC could be happening now....
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Generally a Hurricane doesn't go through it's first ERC until it reaches around category 3 intensity... I believe it's just Dry Air getting pulled in that causing the structural issues at the present time.
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#2257 Postby TheAustinMan » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:42 pm

MIMIC-TC loop for today, pretty good at showing what the inner workings of Arthur are.
Image
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2258 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:44 pm

Look how well established the outflow is in the NW quad now compared to just a few hours ago.
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Re: ATL: ARTHUR - Hurricane - Discussion

#2259 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:44 pm

I don't see any visible concentric eyewall structure that there will be no ERC anytime soon, likely just some dry air disruption as said
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#2260 Postby Hammy » Thu Jul 03, 2014 3:44 pm

Latest radar loop shows the eye getting larger.
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