2014 EPAC Season
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Hurricaneman
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Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:As for a hypothetical situation, say the name Ana were to form and get retired, would the A name change in the Atlantic for 2015 as well?
No since it would be a EPAC storm I believe
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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HURAKAN
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Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:As for a hypothetical situation, say the name Ana were to form and get retired, would the A name change in the Atlantic for 2015 as well?
The only names that cannot come into conflict are the Atlantic and EPAC, the central Pacific can have names that appear in the Atlantic list.
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Yellow Evan
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Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:As for a hypothetical situation, say the name Ana were to form and get retired, would the A name change in the Atlantic for 2015 as well?
No.
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Yellow Evan
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Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:You mean a possible Norbert?
At this rate we may go Greek...and I wonder if this is the year that California gets hit?
SST's are really cold off of California atm.
We could go Greek if this streak continues.
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Kingarabian
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Yellow Evan
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Re:
Kingarabian wrote:Unless Karina is our last major hurricane of the season, the NHC prediction for only 6 major hurricanes is now surprisingly low.
I conservatively forecast 7, with numbers of 21/11/7. Already think my 7 forecast could bust, lol.
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Kingarabian
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Re: Re:
Yellow Evan wrote:Kingarabian wrote:Unless Karina is our last major hurricane of the season, the NHC prediction for only 6 major hurricanes is now surprisingly low.
I conservatively forecast 7, with numbers of 21/11/7. Already think my 7 forecast could bust, lol.
How could you be so conservative lol. Can't believe 7 majors are conservative haha.
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Yellow Evan
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Re: Re:
Kingarabian wrote:Yellow Evan wrote:Kingarabian wrote:Unless Karina is our last major hurricane of the season, the NHC prediction for only 6 major hurricanes is now surprisingly low.
I conservatively forecast 7, with numbers of 21/11/7. Already think my 7 forecast could bust, lol.
How could you be so conservative lol. Can't believe 7 majors are conservative haha.
7 just sounds good to me IMO. I felt it would be a little weird forecasting only 4 Cat 1's-Cat 2's. Probs will get more than 7.
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hurricanes1234
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I was thinking of this again, does anyone think this EPAC season is still in for a possible Category 5?
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Yellow Evan
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Yellow Evan
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Re:
hurricanes1234 wrote:I was thinking of this again, does anyone think this EPAC season is still in for a possible Category 5?
Yes. A Cat 5 is likely IMO.
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Yellow Evan
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cycloneye
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Re: 2014 EPAC Season
An area of low pressure is forecast to form well south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula by Saturday.
Some gradual development of this system is possible early next week
while the system moves generally northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 day...low...20 percent.
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula by Saturday.
Some gradual development of this system is possible early next week
while the system moves generally northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 day...low...20 percent.
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Yellow Evan
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Yellow Evan
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An area of low pressure is forecast to form well south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula in a couple of
days. Some gradual development of this system is possible this
weekend and early next week while the system moves generally
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 day...low...20 percent.
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula in a couple of
days. Some gradual development of this system is possible this
weekend and early next week while the system moves generally
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 day...low...20 percent.
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xtyphooncyclonex
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Early August Personal Numbers
25/16/9
ACE 235
25/16/9
ACE 235
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Yellow Evan
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Yellow Evan
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Starting to think this won't happen based on latest run that have it moving over cool SST's quickly. .
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141729
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 14 2014
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
An area of low pressure is forecast to form well south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula in a couple of
days. Some gradual development of this system is possible over the
weekend and into early next week while the system moves northward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 day...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Stewart
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141729
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 14 2014
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
An area of low pressure is forecast to form well south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula in a couple of
days. Some gradual development of this system is possible over the
weekend and into early next week while the system moves northward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 day...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Stewart
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