2014 EPAC Season

[CrazyC83]

As for a hypothetical situation, say the name Ana were to form and get retired, would the A name change in the Atlantic for 2015 as well?

[Hurricaneman]

As for a hypothetical situation, say the name Ana were to form and get retired, would the A name change in the Atlantic for 2015 as well?

No since it would be a EPAC storm I believe

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[HURAKAN]

As for a hypothetical situation, say the name Ana were to form and get retired, would the A name change in the Atlantic for 2015 as well?

The only names that cannot come into conflict are the Atlantic and EPAC, the central Pacific can have names that appear in the Atlantic list.

[Yellow Evan]

As for a hypothetical situation, say the name Ana were to form and get retired, would the A name change in the Atlantic for 2015 as well?

No.

[Yellow Evan]

You mean a possible Norbert?

At this rate we may go Greek...and I wonder if this is the year that California gets hit?

SST's are really cold off of California atm.

We could go Greek if this streak continues.

[Kingarabian]

Unless Karina is our last major hurricane of the season, the NHC prediction for only 6 major hurricanes is now surprisingly low.

[Yellow Evan]

Unless Karina is our last major hurricane of the season, the NHC prediction for only 6 major hurricanes is now surprisingly low.

I conservatively forecast 7, with numbers of 21/11/7. Already think my 7 forecast could bust, lol.

[Kingarabian]

Unless Karina is our last major hurricane of the season, the NHC prediction for only 6 major hurricanes is now surprisingly low.

I conservatively forecast 7, with numbers of 21/11/7. Already think my 7 forecast could bust, lol.

How could you be so conservative lol. Can't believe 7 majors are conservative haha.

[Yellow Evan]

Unless Karina is our last major hurricane of the season, the NHC prediction for only 6 major hurricanes is now surprisingly low.

I conservatively forecast 7, with numbers of 21/11/7. Already think my 7 forecast could bust, lol.

How could you be so conservative lol. Can't believe 7 majors are conservative haha.

7 just sounds good to me IMO. I felt it would be a little weird forecasting only 4 Cat 1's-Cat 2's. Probs will get more than 7.


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[hurricanes1234]

I was thinking of this again, does anyone think this EPAC season is still in for a possible Category 5?

[Yellow Evan]

[Yellow Evan]

I was thinking of this again, does anyone think this EPAC season is still in for a possible Category 5?

Yes. A Cat 5 is likely IMO.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Yellow Evan]

12z CMC shows a hurricane off the west coast of Mexico

[cycloneye]

An area of low pressure is forecast to form well south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula by Saturday.
Some gradual development of this system is possible early next week
while the system moves generally northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 day...low...20 percent.

[Equilibrium]

[Yellow Evan]

Marie



Norbert

[Yellow Evan]

An area of low pressure is forecast to form well south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula in a couple of
days. Some gradual development of this system is possible this
weekend and early next week while the system moves generally
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 day...low...20 percent.

[xtyphooncyclonex]

Early August Personal Numbers

25/16/9

ACE 235

[Yellow Evan]

Marie



Norbert

[Yellow Evan]

Starting to think this won't happen based on latest run that have it moving over cool SST's quickly. .

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 141729
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located several hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form well south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula in a couple of
days. Some gradual development of this system is possible over the
weekend and into early next week while the system moves northward to
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 day...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart