ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

[floridasun78]

nhc thinking wont be td before landfall unless get better looking soon very soon

[fci]

Oh well, maybe a little rain for South Florida.
Amazing how much rain we have had especially given we haven't had any tropical systems.
No big whoop for us even if it becomes a TD or even a weak TS.
But at least a little something to follow.

[NDG]

Here is the NE shear that is forecasted to reach down to 92L over the next couple of days, 0z JAX sounding, up to 65 knots winds at H20, wow!

[Ntxw]

Here is the NE shear that is forecasted to reach down to 92L over the next couple of days, 0z JAX sounding, up to 65 knots winds at H20, wow!

http://weather.uwyo.edu/upperair/bimage ... t.parc.gif

Cold front from the far north. It's crossing Texas now. But the next 24 hours is a good open window for 92L if it wants to take advantage. Shear will slowly make it's way first being close to SE HP beyond that point.

[TheStormExpert]

IMO 92L has already peaked earlier this afternoon, 2014 season continues to live up to it's name.

[Bocadude85]

IMO 92L has already peaked earlier this afternoon, 2014 season continues to live up to it's name.

Do you have any actual reasoning other then "it's 2014"? Conditions look favorable for the next 24 hours so so.

[NDG]

Here is the NE shear that is forecasted to reach down to 92L over the next couple of days, 0z JAX sounding, up to 65 knots winds at H20, wow!

http://weather.uwyo.edu/upperair/bimage ... t.parc.gif

Cold front from the far north. It's crossing Texas now. But the next 24 hours is a good open window for 92L if it wants to take advantage. Shear will slowly make it's way first being close to SE HP beyond that point.

http://i59.tinypic.com/qwyn7o.gif

Yeah, I agree, it has about 24 hrs or so as shown by the latest SHIPS shear forecast.

[Hammy]

IMO 92L has already peaked earlier this afternoon, 2014 season continues to live up to it's name.

What name would that be? This literally doesn't make any sense.

[gatorcane]

convection is on the increase again the past several hours...

[tolakram]

Live IR: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=27&lon=-77&info=ir&zoom=1&width=1200&height=720&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir3.pal&numframes=10

[Miami Storm Tracker]

IMO 92L has already peaked earlier this afternoon, 2014 season continues to live up to it's name.

Do you have any actual reasoning other then "it's 2014"? Conditions look favorable for the next 24 hours so so.

That would be a big time no, every post he post is so negative or made to be a joke.

[jlauderdal]

Live IR: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=27&lon=-77&info=ir&zoom=1&width=1200&height=720&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir3.pal&numframes=10

impressive towers on the nw side...has a long way to go before something that woukd cause watches or warnings

[floridasun78]

why have not nhc put floater on invest 92?

[fci]

IMO 92L has already peaked earlier this afternoon, 2014 season continues to live up to it's name.

What name would that be? This literally doesn't make any sense.

Anxious too to learn this mysterious name. Didn't realize the NHC had started naming seasons!

[gatorcane]

Live IR: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=27&lon=-77&info=ir&zoom=1&width=1200&height=720&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir3.pal&numframes=10

impressive towers on the nw side...has a long way to go before something that woukd cause watches or warnings

Yes indeed. It's interesting to note the 18Z GFS simulated IR did not show anything like this that is happening now. It collapsed the convection pretty quickly.

[TheStormExpert]

One thing to note from the NHC's latest TWO for 92L is while they forecast environmental conditions to become unfavorable within 24hrs. or so, they do have a slightly higher chance of development beyond 2-days hence the 20/30%.

[jlauderdal]

Live IR: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=27&lon=-77&info=ir&zoom=1&width=1200&height=720&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir3.pal&numframes=10

impressive towers on the nw side...has a long way to go before something that woukd cause watches or warnings

Yes indeed. It's interesting to note the 18Z GFS simulated IR did not show anything like this that is happening now. It collapsed the convection pretty quickly.

gotta love the gfs

[Blown Away]

Live IR: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=27&lon=-77&info=ir&zoom=1&width=1200&height=720&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir3.pal&numframes=10

impressive towers on the nw side...has a long way to go before something that woukd cause watches or warnings

At a minimum, this view looks really intimidating with all the dark reds and blacks... Scary looking...

[jlauderdal]

Live IR: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=27&lon=-77&info=ir&zoom=1&width=1200&height=720&quality=95&type=Animation&palette=ir3.pal&numframes=10

impressive towers on the nw side...has a long way to go before something that woukd cause watches or warnings

At a minimum, this view looks really intimidating with all the dark reds and blacks... Scary looking...

no doubt, looks like a monster is bearing down...maybe the solar flare up will cause some weird tropical enhancement and get things rolling in the atlantic

[gatorcane]

Latest - convection continues to blossom: