ATL: GONZALO - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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NDG
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#341 Postby NDG » Mon Oct 13, 2014 9:28 am

adam0983 wrote:What time frame should be the worst for st martin. The weather is overcast with some showers. Some hotels are putting shutters up now and the hotels are bringing in lounge chairs and tables


It should be going downhill over the next few hours.
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#342 Postby ronjon » Mon Oct 13, 2014 9:40 am

Looks to have wobbled W-SW the last few hours.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/08L/flash-vis-long.html
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#343 Postby NDG » Mon Oct 13, 2014 9:41 am

We should begin to see an eye becoming visible on satellite during the next few hours.
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#344 Postby Gustywind » Mon Oct 13, 2014 9:42 am

ronjon wrote:Looks to have wobbled W-SW the last few hours.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/08L/flash-vis-long.html

Absolutely that what my untrained eyes have seen too.
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#345 Postby SouthDadeFish » Mon Oct 13, 2014 9:44 am

I think y'all are tracking the older "eye" feature. That is rotating cyclonically inside the newly forming, larger eye. Hence the appearance of a southward component of motion. The system as a whole is continuing off to the W/WNW.
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#346 Postby TJRE » Mon Oct 13, 2014 9:44 am

Unisys goes east
big picture look in

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_vis.php?image=ir&inv=0&t=l12&region=ea

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http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/rmtc.asp

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Gonzo.... bad boy styling today
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#347 Postby NDG » Mon Oct 13, 2014 9:52 am

I strongly disagree with the latest NHC estimated pressure for Gonzalo, clearly the 992mb pressure that the recon found 2 hours ago was not in its center.
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#348 Postby ronjon » Mon Oct 13, 2014 9:53 am

...GONZALO STRENGTHENING WHILE IT MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS...
...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS CONTINUE ON ANTIGUA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 61.9W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NW OF ANTIGUA
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM ESE OF ST. THOMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#349 Postby ronjon » Mon Oct 13, 2014 9:54 am

Not long now before Gonzalo becomes a hurricane.
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#350 Postby NDG » Mon Oct 13, 2014 10:14 am

Latest radar image:

Image
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#351 Postby Nimbus » Mon Oct 13, 2014 10:18 am

The official forecast still puts Puerto Rico on the weak side of the storm.
That should keep the winds below hurricane strength but still give them some rain.
Thought I noticed a wobble south of west a few frames ago, hope the next one is NW.
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#352 Postby TheAustinMan » Mon Oct 13, 2014 10:27 am

Loop I created overlaying radar with satellite imagery since sunup.
Image
Last edited by TheAustinMan on Mon Oct 13, 2014 10:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#353 Postby msbee » Mon Oct 13, 2014 10:28 am

St Maarten
11 AM wind ENE at 23 MPH
pressure 1011
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#354 Postby tropicwatch » Mon Oct 13, 2014 10:32 am

I am kind of surprised that they didn't shift the forecast past a little further west. I haven't seen any indication of a northwest motion yet.

Image
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#355 Postby abajan » Mon Oct 13, 2014 10:37 am

It's about time the "Invest 90L" text disappears from the S2K chart! (I know it's all automatic but still ...)
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#356 Postby Gustywind » Mon Oct 13, 2014 10:51 am

abajan wrote:It's about time the "Invest 90L" text disappears from the S2K chart! (I know it's all automatic but still ...)

:cheesy: :lol: :) yeah fore sure Abajan.
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#357 Postby HurricaneRyan » Mon Oct 13, 2014 10:52 am

Wow! Wasn't expecting a good storm like this to form this month! Let alone, a good Caribbean storm
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#358 Postby weathernerdguy » Mon Oct 13, 2014 10:54 am

This goes to show that a season with a few storms means nothing
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Re: ATL: GONZALO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#359 Postby wxman57 » Mon Oct 13, 2014 11:07 am

12Z GFS has the center passing directly over Bermuda on Friday. Perhaps this time they'll heed the warnings better.
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#360 Postby NDG » Mon Oct 13, 2014 11:09 am

We now have a closed eye on radar.

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