Texas Winter 2014-2015

Winter Weather Discussion

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asd123
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#681 Postby asd123 » Sat Dec 13, 2014 8:07 pm

Rgv20 wrote:
Portastorm wrote:Heh, our friend Rgv20 is going to like the late part of the 18z GFS op run. Shows sleet or freezing rain in parts of the Valley at 348 hours. :P


I LOVE it!! :eek:

Image


One inch of snow for Orlando, FL: http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?pr ... hive=false
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#682 Postby Rgv20 » Sat Dec 13, 2014 8:10 pm

asd123 wrote:One inch of snow for Orlando, FL: http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?pr ... hive=false


Notice the Bulls-eye of Snow in New Orleans... :lol:
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#683 Postby gatorcane » Sat Dec 13, 2014 8:11 pm

Look at the widespread below normal temperatures if this GFS arctic blast happens:

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Texas Winter 2014-2015

#684 Postby cctxhurricanewatcher » Sat Dec 13, 2014 8:31 pm

Looks like WXman57 would have to head to Belize to avoid the cold if those maps come true.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#685 Postby GRAYSONCO.WX » Sun Dec 14, 2014 12:03 pm

Be on alert this afternoon, everyone. The SPC has a 5% tornado risk for north Texas, which includes Dallas.
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#686 Postby Rgv20 » Sun Dec 14, 2014 1:34 pm

The GFS Ensemble Means are still advertising a pattern change starting around Christmas and by the end of December a locking ridge is in Alaska...The AO should tank with those high 500mb Anomalies in the high latitudes.

500mb Anomalies Wednesday December 24
Image

500mb Anomalies Tuesday December 30
Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#687 Postby orangeblood » Sun Dec 14, 2014 1:49 pm

:uarrow: :uarrow: This pattern showing up on the extended ensembles doesn't get much better for cold/snow in the southern plains.

12Z GFS Control is REALLY interesting right before Christmas (going negative tilt in the perfect slot along the Texas Coast)...if correct, I would suspect wide spread precip (possibly wintry) across the state with that storm
Last edited by orangeblood on Sun Dec 14, 2014 2:13 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#688 Postby srainhoutx » Sun Dec 14, 2014 1:54 pm

orangeblood wrote::uarrow: :uarrow: This pattern showing up on the extended ensembles doesn't get much better for cold/snow in the southern plains.

12Z GFS Control is REALLY interesting right before Christmas (going negative tilt in the perfect slot along the Texas Coast)...if correct, I would suspect wide spread wintry precip across the state with that storm

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#689 Postby srainhoutx » Sun Dec 14, 2014 1:56 pm

orangeblood wrote::uarrow: :uarrow: This pattern showing up on the extended ensembles doesn't get much better for cold/snow in the southern plains.

12Z GFS Control is REALLY interesting right before Christmas (going negative tilt in the perfect slot along the Texas Coast)...if correct, I would suspect wide spread wintry precip across the state with that storm

Image


You are hot linking an image that has a forbidden access unless you are a WeatherBell subscriber. Be careful doing that. They are starting to clamp down on those images from their paid site being posted in online weather forums. :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#690 Postby orangeblood » Sun Dec 14, 2014 2:02 pm

srainhoutx wrote:
You are hot linking an image that has a forbidden access unless you are a WeatherBell subscriber. Be careful doing that. They are starting to clamp down on those images from their paid site being posted in online weather forums. :wink:


Sorry about that, I was unaware of the policy change from last year
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#691 Postby Ntxw » Sun Dec 14, 2014 3:19 pm

Busy busy times at the PWC offices. Things are set in motion that cannot be undone.
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#692 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Dec 14, 2014 3:39 pm

Heavy downpour currently in my area. Nice to see the soils getting a good soaking. Wifes cooking, NFL, and heavy rain. Good Sunday.
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#693 Postby Ntxw » Sun Dec 14, 2014 6:19 pm

Latest ENS/GFS and Euro, McFarland 500mb -EPO signature cometh.
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#694 Postby Rgv20 » Sun Dec 14, 2014 6:26 pm

CFSv2 Forecast snowfall for end of December and early January....Winter is Coming!

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Re:

#695 Postby ronyan » Sun Dec 14, 2014 6:27 pm

Ntxw wrote:Latest ENS/GFS and Euro, McFarland 500mb -EPO signature cometh.


What range? If the pattern is McFarland in late Dec that would be some very cold air potentially coming down.
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Re: Re:

#696 Postby Ntxw » Sun Dec 14, 2014 6:31 pm

ronyan wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Latest ENS/GFS and Euro, McFarland 500mb -EPO signature cometh.


What range? If the pattern is McFarland in late Dec that would be some very cold air potentially coming down.


After the Christmas storm (this one needs to be watched carefully) passes the 500mb flow buckles in the Pacific in tandem. Continues to the New Year.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#697 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Dec 14, 2014 7:02 pm

It's beginning to feel a lot like it may feel a lot like Christmas right after Christmas.
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#698 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Sun Dec 14, 2014 7:32 pm

GFS is showing cross polar flow from Siberia but no massive high. I guess give it sometime and if the pattern holds, it will show a big HP eventually. The PGFS shows a mean southern plains storm 10 days out
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#699 Postby aggiecutter » Sun Dec 14, 2014 11:18 pm

Skip Kordas, Meteorologist for Channel 12 Shreveport, said on the Channel 12 weather segment that their proprietary Weather model was predicting snow for the 23rd of December from a line from Dallas to Shreveport and points north of there.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#700 Postby orangeblood » Sun Dec 14, 2014 11:55 pm

aggiecutter wrote:Skip Kordas, Meteorologist for Channel 12 Shreveport, said on the Channel 12 weather segment that their proprietary Weather model was predicting snow for the 23rd of December from a line from Dallas to Shreveport and points north of there.


Setup looks great in the Upper Levels, just not sure if we can get it cold enough at the surface quite yet...would be a bonus to get a winter storm before Christmas, our fun should begin shortly after!
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