Texas Winter 2014-2015

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Tireman4
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#4561 Postby Tireman4 » Sun Feb 15, 2015 3:50 pm

Cloudy, Muggy, 70. I am going to run. Ughh. Maybe after 7 miles I will feel better. Ughh. Maybe March will be cold.
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#4562 Postby Ptarmigan » Sun Feb 15, 2015 4:12 pm

Tireman4 wrote:Cloudy, Muggy, 70. I am going to run. Ughh. Maybe after 7 miles I will feel better. Ughh. Maybe March will be cold.


March can have freezes. The last time it happened was in 2002. There was even snow in 1932. :cold:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/?n=climate_iah_normals_mar
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#4563 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 15, 2015 4:21 pm

I'm done maybe it'll snow when I give up...

I've seen a lot of bad winters in Alabama in my 26 years but this first one in Texas is one of the worst I have watched unfold. It's not the fact it hasn't snowed I get that its rare here... It was all the hype to start the winter, the snow and sleet in November which I cannot believe was it... And then all the threats in January that faded to a boring cold rain. This event i never was real impressed with but its just more of the same.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#4564 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Feb 15, 2015 4:31 pm

Brent wrote:I'm done maybe it'll snow when I give up...

I've seen a lot of bad winters in Alabama in my 26 years but this first one in Texas is one of the worst I have lived through. It's not the fact it hasn't snowed I get that its rare here... It was all the hype to start the winter, the snow and sleet in November which I cannot believe was it... And then all the threats in January that faded to a boring cold rain. This event i never was real impressed with but its just more of the same.


Northern Alabama is about to see some wintry precip as early as late tonight Brent, but highly likely on tomorrow as the storm system developing currently will move across the Deep South during the next 36 hours. Much of the Tennessee Valley and possibly the Mid Atlantic could see accumulations with this system and freezing rain is possible in some areas as well.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Sun Feb 15, 2015 4:42 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#4565 Postby Portastorm » Sun Feb 15, 2015 4:38 pm

It's not bad enough apparently that this winter has been the proverbial "two weeks out" tease ... but now even my local AFDs are referencing snow when the air would be cold enough but WHY IT WON'T HAPPEN. Cruelty ... this is just cruelty.

From EWX's afternoon AFD:

SOME REMNANT MOISTURE AND RETURN ENERGY IS BEING ADVERTISED IN
THE ECMWF AND TO A LESSER EXTENT THE GFS THAT WOULD BE PRODUCING
LIGHT RAIN AND EVEN POSSIBLE A FLURRY OR TWO FOR THE NORTHERN
BORDER OF OUR CWA.
HOWEVER...THE ATMOSPHERE BELOW 700 MB IS QUITE
DRY AND CONFIDENCE IN ANY PRECIP AT ALL IS LOW. THEREFORE DID NOT
INCLUDE ANYTHING BEYOND RW-- FOR MONDAY NIGHT.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#4566 Postby opticsguy » Sun Feb 15, 2015 6:01 pm

Let's not forget the early March freeze of last year, where it got down to 17F in Addison, after everything had started growing. I lost more plants and trees that week than any freeze of the previous 25 years.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#4567 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 15, 2015 6:03 pm

Portastorm wrote:It's not bad enough apparently that this winter has been the proverbial "two weeks out" tease ... but now even my local AFDs are referencing snow when the air would be cold enough but WHY IT WON'T HAPPEN. Cruelty ... this is just cruelty.

From EWX's afternoon AFD:

SOME REMNANT MOISTURE AND RETURN ENERGY IS BEING ADVERTISED IN
THE ECMWF AND TO A LESSER EXTENT THE GFS THAT WOULD BE PRODUCING
LIGHT RAIN AND EVEN POSSIBLE A FLURRY OR TWO FOR THE NORTHERN
BORDER OF OUR CWA.
HOWEVER...THE ATMOSPHERE BELOW 700 MB IS QUITE
DRY AND CONFIDENCE IN ANY PRECIP AT ALL IS LOW. THEREFORE DID BOT
INCLUDE ANYTHING BEYOND RW-- FOR MONDAY NIGHT.


This is exactly why this winter has been so ugly for me... The almost events the close calls the "if it was only a couple degrees colder" I'm so over it... No threats would be so much better.

The Alabama event is a far cry from what it was the other day... The models had a big snow and now its just some brief ice before it goes to rain mostly... Ugly. But hey.. I'm not missing anything by being here lol
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#4568 Postby Ralph's Weather » Sun Feb 15, 2015 6:24 pm

It has been lightly raining for a couple hours here with temps in the mid 50s.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#4569 Postby TexasF6 » Sun Feb 15, 2015 7:45 pm

March looks very cold. We have to keep hope alive for winter!
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#4570 Postby TheProfessor » Sun Feb 15, 2015 7:47 pm

:uarrow: I don't want a cold march though :x
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#4571 Postby aggiecutter » Sun Feb 15, 2015 8:32 pm

Meteorologist at the PortaStorm Weather Center wondering what went wrong with their 2014-2015 winter forecast:

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#4572 Postby Portastorm » Sun Feb 15, 2015 9:00 pm

Haaa! :lol:

That's a classic. As Homer Simpson says "It's funny cuz its true."
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#4573 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 15, 2015 9:28 pm

I only want cold if its going to snow
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#4574 Postby somethingfunny » Sun Feb 15, 2015 11:05 pm

opticsguy wrote:Let's not forget the early March freeze of last year, where it got down to 17F in Addison, after everything had started growing. I lost more plants and trees that week than any freeze of the previous 25 years.


The hedges in front of my house are dead because of that freeze.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#4575 Postby orangeblood » Sun Feb 15, 2015 11:31 pm

Man, this place is a real Debbie downer lately. ..we're only half way through February, all it takes is one good storm to get above normal snowfall around here. Stay optimistic people, Euro ensembles have some crazy snow scenarios over the next couple of weeks!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#4576 Postby weatherdude1108 » Sun Feb 15, 2015 11:39 pm

somethingfunny wrote:
opticsguy wrote:Let's not forget the early March freeze of last year, where it got down to 17F in Addison, after everything had started growing. I lost more plants and trees that week than any freeze of the previous 25 years.


The hedges in front of my house are dead because of that freeze.


I lost all of my Sago fronds on my two Sagos in that freeze. But got new growth this past year. Looks as good as before.

There are flowers blooming in my neighborhood. Seriously?!?! :double: Teaser Winter 2014-2015. :roll:
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#4577 Postby Ralph's Weather » Sun Feb 15, 2015 11:45 pm

Still looks like some freezing rain and sleet on the back edge of the precip tomorrow morning.
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#4578 Postby Ralph's Weather » Mon Feb 16, 2015 12:13 am

The front looks to be 3 hours ahead of schedule around DFW. It will be interesting to see how this affects the sleet and ice potential.
And it looks like the models have fully settled on the idea that there will not be enough moisture left behind for even flurries Tuesday morning.. maybe we can get lucky with a bit of moisture and song forcing, but that is stretching it.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#4579 Postby Brent » Mon Feb 16, 2015 12:15 am

Sorry if my rants were a bit much earlier... clearly this winter has been irritating but I probably went a little overboard because I was annoyed at work lol. I mean clearly none of our setups this winter ever looked that good once it got into forecasting range so there was no real devastating surprises(which I've seen more than I care to recall in my years in Alabama too) but even still it just leaves a bad taste up til now the way it's all went down given all the preseason talk. This has just been a tough winter for me to deal with and I'm not really sure why... I haven't missed out on something in Alabama(which was my big fear this winter lol), so I'm not sure why it's bothering me so much. Maybe I'm spending too much time worrying about it.

I do really have to back off this whole getting caught up in model snowstorms though... it's a bad habit of mine that needs fixing and that's the main source of why I get irritated.
Last edited by Brent on Mon Feb 16, 2015 12:23 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#4580 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Mon Feb 16, 2015 12:20 am

Freezing rain and drizzle here. Looks like not much ice accumulation is expected, so that's definitely a good thing.
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