Texas Summer-2015

[Tireman4]

Ah, the extended cold which began last September is finally over! Temperatures reached the mid 90s across southeast Texas. I was outside enjoying the heat all last weekend and I think I might take Friday off for another extended weekend outside. The only sad part about this time of year is that the first cold front of the year will arrive in 5-6 weeks. Better get out there and enjoy the heat while you can!

Umm...I maybe dense sir, but I cannot let this one get way....5-6 weeks from now ( July 15) is August 22-29. Climo suggests a cold front front September 25. Either the heat has finally gotten to you ( sure that did not happen) or you know something we do not. What gives?

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

Ah, the extended cold which began last September is finally over! Temperatures reached the mid 90s across southeast Texas. I was outside enjoying the heat all last weekend and I think I might take Friday off for another extended weekend outside. The only sad part about this time of year is that the first cold front of the year will arrive in 5-6 weeks. Better get out there and enjoy the heat while you can!

So, the day after the giant Boston pile of dirty snow finally melts away, and wxman57 returns from his slumber. Coincidence?

[wxman57]

Ah, the extended cold which began last September is finally over! Temperatures reached the mid 90s across southeast Texas. I was outside enjoying the heat all last weekend and I think I might take Friday off for another extended weekend outside. The only sad part about this time of year is that the first cold front of the year will arrive in 5-6 weeks. Better get out there and enjoy the heat while you can!

Umm...I maybe dense sir, but I cannot let this one get way....5-6 weeks from now ( July 15) is August 22-29. Climo suggests a cold front front September 25. Either the heat has finally gotten to you ( sure that did not happen) or you know something we do not. What gives?

I meant 8-9 weeks. Should have used my calculator.

[Tireman4]

Ah, the extended cold which began last September is finally over! Temperatures reached the mid 90s across southeast Texas. I was outside enjoying the heat all last weekend and I think I might take Friday off for another extended weekend outside. The only sad part about this time of year is that the first cold front of the year will arrive in 5-6 weeks. Better get out there and enjoy the heat while you can!

Umm...I maybe dense sir, but I cannot let this one get way....5-6 weeks from now ( July 15) is August 22-29. Climo suggests a cold front front September 25. Either the heat has finally gotten to you ( sure that did not happen) or you know something we do not. What gives?

I meant 8-9 weeks. Should have used my calculator.

Great...I was doing the happy dance for nothing.....ughh

[Brent]

Ah, the extended cold which began last September is finally over! Temperatures reached the mid 90s across southeast Texas. I was outside enjoying the heat all last weekend and I think I might take Friday off for another extended weekend outside. The only sad part about this time of year is that the first cold front of the year will arrive in 5-6 weeks. Better get out there and enjoy the heat while you can!

don't even joke like that!

[Ptarmigan]

Ah, the extended cold which began last September is finally over! Temperatures reached the mid 90s across southeast Texas. I was outside enjoying the heat all last weekend and I think I might take Friday off for another extended weekend outside. The only sad part about this time of year is that the first cold front of the year will arrive in 5-6 weeks. Better get out there and enjoy the heat while you can!

I guess you would not like Pluto.

[kenfa03]

Any sign of rain in the future?

[South Texas Storms]

Any sign of rain in the future?

Welcome to Storm2k! A large ridge of high pressure will remain over the region through much of the next 7 days. Unfortunately, not much change in the weather pattern is expected.

[Portastorm]

It is wxman57's world for the next two months ... we're just living in it.

[aggiecutter]

[wxman57]

Any sign of rain in the future?

In the future? Yes, but not the near future. Perhaps the pattern will change in early August. Here's the overnight GFS run showing total rainfall across Texas for the next 10 days:

[Janie2006]

It is wxman57's world for the next two months ... we're just living in it.

Nicely played, sir!

The big ridge of high pressure is making its presence felt over here as well. Whilst the Gulf provides some handy sea breeze summer storms and we have a fairly high soil moisture content, we could see excessive heat warnings this weekend with those indices up to 113 possible in some places. The Heat Miser is having his way with all of us.

[Tireman4]

Ah, the extended cold which began last September is finally over! Temperatures reached the mid 90s across southeast Texas. I was outside enjoying the heat all last weekend and I think I might take Friday off for another extended weekend outside. The only sad part about this time of year is that the first cold front of the year will arrive in 5-6 weeks. Better get out there and enjoy the heat while you can!

I guess you would not like Pluto.

Nahh, he is more of a Mercury man himself...

[Ntxw]

I'm really hoping this El Nino pulls through come August. It's not looking like significant rainfall is going to happen rest of July. The indicators for rain are there (SOI, tropical convection, etc) but I guess you can't fight climo with the moving ridge. Eventually though the strong Nino will win.

[Portastorm]

I go back to something I posted a month or two ago ... if you look at similar year analogs where you have a strong or "strongish" Nino developing through summer, you will see a dry and warm State of Texas in those analog years. This is nothing unusual. And as you have pointed out, Ntxw, once we get close to the seasonal change ... the "little boy" will make his presence known.

[Tireman4]

I go back to something I posted a month or two ago ... if you look at similar year analogs where you have a strong or "strongish" Nino developing through summer, you will see a dry and warm State of Texas in those analog years. This is nothing unusual. And as you have pointed out, Ntxw, once we get close to the seasonal change ... the "little boy" will make his presence known.

We need a ticker for the days counting down to September 25th...

[weatherdude1108]

Yeah, we just have to wait patiently for the youngster. I just got spoiled by the over 17 inches of rain in May and over 8 inches in June with below normal temperatures here.

The weather guy said today that we may go the entire month of July without any rain. July is the driest month of the year here (and most of Texas) climatologically, but normal July rainfall is still over an inch here in Austin. The meteorological Law of Averages is apparently playing out, in an EXTREME way.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

I go back to something I posted a month or two ago ... if you look at similar year analogs where you have a strong or "strongish" Nino developing through summer, you will see a dry and warm State of Texas in those analog years. This is nothing unusual. And as you have pointed out, Ntxw, once we get close to the seasonal change ... the "little boy" will make his presence known.

Is '93 considered El nino-ish? I rememeber we or Texas didnt have rain for 90 days at one point. This is a summer thread, but as far as the rain coming, i think late sept into October we can expect big big rains again. Dont want to compare to April since it was so historic but i think we can see significant amount of rainfall. Nino will be at full tilt with fronts coming down. Also the fronts may stall across the state making the situation even worse. I'm legit excited for this fall/winter with the way analogs are playing. '72-'73 as Ntx is saying looks to be the best one and it looks very exciting. My new weather station i have in place is making me all giddy about it as well.

Another thing, can someone explain this tweet?
https://twitter.com/mjventrice/status/6 ... 3512518656

[wxman57]

Is '93 considered El nino-ish? I remember we or Texas didn't have rain for 90 days at one point. This is a summer thread, but as far as the rain coming, i think late sept into October we can expect big big rains again. Don't want to compare to April since it was so historic but i think we can see significant amount of rainfall. Nino will be at full tilt with fronts coming down. Also the fronts may stall across the state making the situation even worse. I'm legit excited for this fall/winter with the way analogs are playing. '72-'73 as Ntx is saying looks to be the best one and it looks very exciting. My new weather station i have in place is making me all giddy about it as well.

Another thing, can someone explain this tweet?
https://twitter.com/mjventrice/status/6 ... 3512518656

You can check previous years here:
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ensoyears.shtml

For 1993, the May-July average was +0.6 degrees. It was a borderline weak El Nino. The temperature anomaly for June-August dropped to +0.3 degrees.

The winters of '72-'73 and '57-'58 look analog-ish when considering only the El Nino status. I remember some snow in south Louisiana in both those winters. Snow in winter is OK, as long as the rest of the winter is not cold.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Is '93 considered El nino-ish? I remember we or Texas didn't have rain for 90 days at one point. This is a summer thread, but as far as the rain coming, i think late sept into October we can expect big big rains again. Don't want to compare to April since it was so historic but i think we can see significant amount of rainfall. Nino will be at full tilt with fronts coming down. Also the fronts may stall across the state making the situation even worse. I'm legit excited for this fall/winter with the way analogs are playing. '72-'73 as Ntx is saying looks to be the best one and it looks very exciting. My new weather station i have in place is making me all giddy about it as well.

Another thing, can someone explain this tweet?
https://twitter.com/mjventrice/status/6 ... 3512518656

You can check previous years here:
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ensoyears.shtml

For 1993, the May-July average was +0.6 degrees. It was a borderline weak El Nino. The temperature anomaly for June-August dropped to +0.3 degrees.

The winters of '72-'73 and '57-'58 look analog-ish when considering only the El Nino status. I remember some snow in south Louisiana in both those winters. Snow in winter is OK, as long as the rest of the winter is not cold.

I checked wundermap for hourly data for IAH. Big cold fronts came through with more than a couple of snow/ice events. I know a family friend that said school was closed three times in early 1973 due to snow/ice. She went to Memorial High School.