Evening Issy thoughts

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Derek Ortt

Evening Issy thoughts

#1 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Sep 17, 2003 10:42 pm

Not much to say, really.

System is likely closer to 80KT than 90KT based upon the latest recon wind messgaes. (Yes, i did chicken out and go 90KT at landfall http://www.nwhhc.com/atlantic13fd.html ) In addition, the pressure rose 3mb from earlier this evening, not a sign of a system that is intensifying.

Looks like a weak cat 2 or a cat 1 coming into the coast now, unless the eye really tightens up and convection fires over the system. However, this still could cause significant damage.

A few days ago I'd have never though that this would end up as another Gloria; however, history sure has a way of repeating itself. A cat 5 dramatially weakens as it mvoes towards the U.S. East Coast
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#2 Postby Wolfman21 » Wed Sep 17, 2003 10:44 pm

So she goes from "Hell on Water" to "Rubber Duckey"
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#3 Postby ncbird » Wed Sep 17, 2003 10:53 pm

I am sure there are alot of people like me who spent many hours getting prepared for the worst but don't mind at all that she has turned into a "Rubber Duckey". I really hope she does not make a last stand intensification, but she has been such a strange system you never know.
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My posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just ramblings of an old Grandma who loves tropical storms, and are not backed by any type of sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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#4 Postby Trader Ron » Wed Sep 17, 2003 10:55 pm

I think the angle it's coming ashore is more important than if it's 90 kts or 100 kts.Also if it's High Tide when it makes landfall.
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#5 Postby GalvestonDuck » Wed Sep 17, 2003 10:56 pm

Wolfman21 wrote:So she goes from "Hell on Water" to "Rubber Duckey"


:5:
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Derek Ortt

#6 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Sep 17, 2003 11:26 pm

latest recon shows FL winds back up to 109KT and that the pressure has fallen slightly, back to 955
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#7 Postby Wolfman21 » Thu Sep 18, 2003 12:49 am

so up 2 MB.... but still 109 kts
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