ATL: ERIKA - Remnants - Discussion

#1901 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 8:46 pm

That's what I thought.

Hurricaneman wrote:It seems to be heading due west as of now per radar

#1902 Postby **SouthDadeFish** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 8:46 pm

northjaxpro wrote:
It possibly could be SouthDadeFish. But it sure looks decent on radar. Still , I am leaning towards that being the LLC. Just my thoughts.

Actually you may be right. The reason I thought it was an eddy at first is because it didn't seem like a closed circulation at the time, but radar is looking better and recon is losing the center to the south. Good call.

Still a mess!

tropicwatch · #1903 Postby **tropicwatch** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 8:51 pm

NHC will probably stay with the HH, they did finally find a wind shift.

#1904 Postby **CrazyC83** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 8:51 pm

Recon should descend IMO...why it is flying in a weak storm at 10,000 feet I don't understand?

TheAustinMan · #1905 Postby **TheAustinMan** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 8:51 pm

Latest radar image from Puerto Rico:

#1906 Postby **psyclone** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 8:54 pm

If that is the center just south of PR it seems really weak...there just doesn't seem to be enough rotation with it.. I don't know...it will be interesting to see what the NHC designates.

Hurricaneman · #1907 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 8:54 pm

This is severely sheared and it doesnt look as good as it did earlier but this could still look better in the morning

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

#1908 Postby **Blown Away** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 8:54 pm

Based on recent Dvorak position, satellite, and assumed WNW motion... Erika should in theory slide just north of Hispaniola... Crazy??

#1909 Postby **SouthDadeFish** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 8:55 pm

Erika won't be winning any beauty pageants anytime soon:

#1910 Postby **NDG** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 8:55 pm

panamatropicwatch wrote:NHC will probably stay with the HH, they did finally find a wind shift.

I hope they investigate the area just west of St Croix before the 11 PM update, that's where they should find a more define circulation and lower pressures, IMO.

#1911 Postby **MGC** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 8:57 pm

Nice little circulation skirting just south of PR. Don't know if this feature will be the main player. Just some welcome rains in PR I hope.....MGC

tropicwatch · #1912 Postby **tropicwatch** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 8:57 pm

I hope they look at it too.

#1913 Postby **NDG** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 9:00 pm

In agreement with some, this could very well be an eddy rotating around a larger circulation based on its fast movement towards the W.

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/radar/nws_n ... 2_gray.png

#1914 Postby **SouthDadeFish** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 9:03 pm

NDG wrote:In agreement with some, this could very well be an eddy rotating around a larger circulation based on its fast movement towards the W.

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/radar/nws_n ... 2_gray.png

I should have never left the eddy bandwagon 8-)

It is embedded in a cyclonic flow and racing off to the west as it rotates around the north side of the broader vortex.

#1915 Postby **ozonepete** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 9:04 pm

babycane wrote:Hey all, first time poster, long time lurker.

Something I'm noticing here is that the local news stations are really downplaying this. Advising people not to board up or go overboard preparing which is unheard of, any South Florida resident can tell you about the frenzied news coverage we get whenever we enter the Cone of Doom. Not this time, though, quite the opposite.

Local mets are doubtful this will make it to Florida at all. Being the panicky, neurotic person I am, I am already well prepared.

Just thought that was very interesting and I'm hoping they're right.

Thoughts are with those dealing with this now.

Welcome! Good post.

BobHarlem · #1916 Postby **BobHarlem** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 9:05 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:
NDG wrote:In agreement with some, this could very well be an eddy rotating around a larger circulation based on its fast movement towards the W.
I should have never left the eddy bandwagon

It is embedded in a cyclonic flow and racing off to the west as it rotates around the north side of the broader vortex.

Yeah recon recently found some northwest winds south of PR. Area west of St. Croix isn't it.

AutoPenalti · #1917 Postby **AutoPenalti** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 9:08 pm

NDG wrote:In agreement with some, this could very well be an eddy rotating around a larger circulation based on its fast movement towards the W.

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/radar/nws_n ... 2_gray.png

Seem to be learning too much to the point where my brain overloaded and is probably offline.

What's an eddy and what does it do in this situation?

#1918 Postby **northjaxpro** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 9:08 pm

If indeed that feature was an eddy, it sure fooled me.... Erika already making me walk through that trap door lol..

Hurricaneman · #1919 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 9:11 pm

A place I would look is where the Dvorak puts it as the plane also found a windshift there

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

#1920 Postby **HurriGuy** » Thu Aug 27, 2015 9:12 pm

Way south of St. Croix is where recon is finding west winds

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