ATL: JOAQUIN - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Hurricane - Discussion
Big Cone still going with Euro.
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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Hurricane - Discussion
Not recent, but an Satellite picture of Hurricane Joaquin.


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- PTrackerLA
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I can honestly say I'm proud of the NHC for owning up to a forecast. They are the experts and must believe that is the most likely outcome. I was expecting another "punt" of a track but I guess the "GFS and friends" consensus is just too strong to not pull the trigger.
Also, EXCELLENT discussion!
Also, EXCELLENT discussion!
Last edited by PTrackerLA on Wed Sep 30, 2015 4:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- DESTRUCTION5
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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Hurricane - Discussion
That discussion was quite disconcerting. I can sense a lot of sweating going on in Coral Gables.
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Re:
Still not buying it. Going with the right side of the cone and will be happy to eat my crowPTrackerLA wrote:I can honestly say I'm proud of the NHC for owning up to a forecast. They are the experts and must believe that is the most likely outcome. I was expecting another "punt" of a track but I guess the "GFS and friends" consensus is just too strong to not pull the trigger.
Also, EXCELLENT discussion!
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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Hurricane - Discussion
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:That discussion was quite disconcerting. I can sense a lot of sweating going on in Coral Gables.
the NHC is actually located in western Miami-Dade, in the FIU campus ... they moved out of Coral Gables after Andrew in 1992
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Re: Re:
Remember Hurricane Charley far right but still in the coneWeatherwatcher98 wrote:Still not buying it. Going with the right side of the cone and will be happy to eat my crowPTrackerLA wrote:I can honestly say I'm proud of the NHC for owning up to a forecast. They are the experts and must believe that is the most likely outcome. I was expecting another "punt" of a track but I guess the "GFS and friends" consensus is just too strong to not pull the trigger.
Also, EXCELLENT discussion!
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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Hurricane - Discussion
HURAKAN wrote:DESTRUCTION5 wrote:That discussion was quite disconcerting. I can sense a lot of sweating going on in Coral Gables.
the NHC is actually located in western Miami-Dade, in the FIU campus ... they moved out of Coral Gables after Andrew in 1992
they are sweating it out in coral gables too, the hurricanes getting ready to face a tough schedule

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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Hurricane - Discussion
Good news for Florida but Still up in the air from North Carloina to the mid Atlantic states and also the rain from the frontal zone up there causeing issues with the rain.
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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Hurricane - Discussion
Weatherwatcher98 wrote:Big Cone still going with Euro.
Incorrect, the size of the cone is always the same over time..it's a percentage..they went against the Euro fully
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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Hurricane - Discussion
jlauderdal wrote:HURAKAN wrote:DESTRUCTION5 wrote:That discussion was quite disconcerting. I can sense a lot of sweating going on in Coral Gables.
the NHC is actually located in western Miami-Dade, in the FIU campus ... they moved out of Coral Gables after Andrew in 1992
they are sweating it out in coral gables too, the hurricanes getting ready to face a tough schedule
Lol all part of the same concrete Jungle south of Margate.
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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Hurricane - Discussion
Ivanhater wrote:Weatherwatcher98 wrote:Big Cone still going with Euro.
Incorrect, the size of the cone is always the same over time..it's a percentage..they went against the Euro fully
And they almost have to, because if they don't and it hits the US, they're screwed.
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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Hurricane - Discussion
boca wrote:Good news for Florida but Still up in the air from North Carloina to the mid Atlantic states and also the rain from the frontal zone up there causeing issues with the rain.
How is this still good news though? To be honest if I were to live in Florida and see Joaquin choo-chooing towards the south and west, I'd be pretty worried until it reaches 30N.

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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Hurricane - Discussion
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:That discussion was quite disconcerting. I can sense a lot of sweating going on in Coral Gables.
But kudos to them for explaining things as well as they did and for the addition of the numbered summary points at the bottom. It leaves most of the conjecture that can be made from a nebulous discussion out and lays out their thoughts in terms that laymen can understand!
As for Coral Gables, getting away from UM is a good idea!
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My posts are just my opinion and are most likely not backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Bottom line is that I am just expressing my opinion!!!
My posts are just my opinion and are most likely not backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Bottom line is that I am just expressing my opinion!!!
Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Hurricane - Discussion
AutoPenalti wrote:boca wrote:Good news for Florida but Still up in the air from North Carloina to the mid Atlantic states and also the rain from the frontal zone up there causeing issues with the rain.
How is this still good news though? To be honest if I were to live in Florida and see Joaquin choo-chooing towards the south and west, I'd be pretty worried until it reaches 30N.
I agree but the NHC must be confident that the turn will occur becuae at work no one even knew about it.
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fci wrote:Evil Jeremy wrote:As an aside, it IS really amazing that we are looking at a storm in The Bahamas moving "generally" in our direction and there is zero concern here in Florida!
You just have to believe it. Here in Hawaii we've had 4 close calls this season and despite the storms sometimes passing within 100 miles away from us, there was no concern.
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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Hurricane - Discussion
AutoPenalti wrote:boca wrote:Good news for Florida but Still up in the air from North Carloina to the mid Atlantic states and also the rain from the frontal zone up there causeing issues with the rain.
How is this still good news though? To be honest if I were to live in Florida and see Joaquin choo-chooing towards the south and west, I'd be pretty worried until it reaches 30N.
I'm not as concerned as Outer Banks or possibly NJ residents should be. Until this thing starts its NW/Northern turn, everyone from NC to MA should stay fixated on the weather news.
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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Hurricane - Discussion
I think Joaquin will pull a Floyd of 1999 when it made that sharp right turn,we do always seem to luck out storm wise here in Florida.Hanna in 2008 was suppose to make that north turn and kept on moving SW and brought us some unexpected squalls.
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Re: ATL: JOAQUIN - Hurricane - Discussion
The new track has really got my attention. It is getting closer and closer to my area. The next few days are getting interesting!
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