

Good thing is it should be mostly cooler going forward for awhile. In other news, The GFS and Euro have gone from Monday being a "rain event" to a sprinkle.. next week still looks pretty unsettled though,
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TheProfessor wrote:40 degrees and heavy snow falling right now lol.
Ntxw wrote:El Nino tends to favor more localized outbreaks, quantity in Texas. This due to the fact there are just more chances with the high number of systems moving through. Such as last season, but none were high risk days.
La Ninas on a national scale are more likely to produce big outbreaks with your classic high risk days. But the opportunities are farther inbetween. Quality outbreaks over quantity. You can easily name some big memorable outbreaks just rattling off recent springs coming from La Nina especially after the switch from El Nino.
1998-1999 Nina-May 3rd
2007-2008-Super Tuesday
2010-2011-Dixie and Joplin
2016-2017...?
So yeah the spring to watch is 2017. Likely another huge outbreak to add on that list.
1900hurricane wrote:I'm getting pretty sick of the dry pattern. The constant reenforcement of continental cold fronts aren't particularly strong right now, but the huge gulf in dewpoint depressions is playing havoc on my lips and nasal cavity.
I'm also lamenting about not having any interesting weather to follow lately. Can we just go back to unfaltering El Nino?
TheProfessor wrote:I love winter weather during the winter time, but having to walk through a sleet and snow storm on April 8th is just not right, add in the 40 mph wind gusts and it's just brutal.
Brent wrote:Breaking News: We have raindrops in DFW. Alert we have raindrops in DFW.
Ntxw wrote:More active pattern is welcome. Also temperatures have been pretty steady to even slightly cool this April thus far. 90s and 100s are not impossible, and can occur. We'll hold steady in 70s and some 80s which is nothing extreme for this month. Long range guidance are mostly pointing to possibilities of a rather wet summer ahead, perhaps with 2007 as a guide. They look more and more like that summer where most of the country was hot except for the southern plains. CFSv2 is actually calling for an unusually cool summer for us.
Ntxw wrote:More active pattern is welcome. Also temperatures have been pretty steady to even slightly cool this April thus far. 90s and 100s are not impossible, and can occur. We'll hold steady in 70s and some 80s which is nothing extreme for this month. Long range guidance are mostly pointing to possibilities of a rather wet summer ahead, perhaps with 2007 as a guide. They look more and more like that summer where most of the country was hot except for the southern plains. CFSv2 is actually calling for an unusually cool summer for us.
Brent wrote:God I sure hope so. I'm a little discouraged at how dry it's been lately and the fact that this week the rain chances keep getting less impressive the closer the event gets.
Ntxw wrote:Brent wrote:God I sure hope so. I'm a little discouraged at how dry it's been lately and the fact that this week the rain chances keep getting less impressive the closer the event gets.
Yeah, for the most part the precip events thus far in 2016 have underachieved. With a Nino that is fading into a La NIna, I guess we'll have to lower expectations! I just hope these above normal months comes to end soon. It's really getting old. Overall though the pattern is good for at least opportunities even if amount may lack. For a true heavy rain event though, we want to see something disturbed in the EPAC even if not a named system.
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