Tropical wave wsw of CV Islands (Pouch 21L) Invest 99L is up

[Siker]

Final frame before truncation, heading northwest:

[JtSmarts]

Ok, looks like Uncle CMC wants to play "Let's Attack the US" again. lol

[tarheelprogrammer]

OTS on this run. A lot will change.

[NDG]

Dr Phil's latest 2 week forecast thinks this tropical wave will not develop much if any because of MJO still being on Phase 6.
No comment, lol.

[Siker]

Misses the US on this run, intensifying off the East Coast:

[PTrackerLA]

Details aren't important past the islands as of now but if GFS keeps showing solutions like this it will be time to watch closely.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/766316791190597632

[TheStormExpert]

Doesn't the GFS have a right bias?

[Hurricaneman]

I still think anyone on the US coast need to watch this being its coming up on peak time of the season plus it already looks good on satellite+ I wouldn't be surprised if they lemon this system either at 2 or 8

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[Siker]

Nice structure to it:

[abajan]

I think there's a good chance this will be mentioned in the next TWO (2 PM).

[Blown Away]

JB optimistic with this TW...
In his "Public" 8.18.16 Weatherbell video he drew a track line near NE Caribbean, Bahamas, and pointing towards Florida...
http://www.weatherbell.com

[TheStormExpert]

I wonder if the GFS could be overdoing the troughiness, and 150-200 miles west in track will make the BIG difference between an East Coast rider and it missing the East Coast and the Bahamas to the east.

[Hurricaneman]

Nice structure to it:

Actually looks just as good as Fiona

[TheStormExpert]

Nice structure to it:

Actually looks just as good as Fiona

Should be lemoned @ 2pm in the TWO despite developmnet not occuring until a week from now as it goes over the Lesser Antilles.

[cycloneye]

Hurricaneman,Edited the title to add wsw of CV Islands.

[stormlover2013]

should be interesting,will keep us busy for the next 2 weeks are so....should be fun

[Siker]

Decent clustering on the GEFS for day 6:

[Alyono]

99L

[cycloneye]

A tropical wave located about 300 miles southwest of Cabo Verde
Islands is producing widespread cloudiness and disorganized shower
activity. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
gradual development of this disturbance over the next several days
while the system moves westward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent