Tropical wave SW of cape verde islands looks impressive

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cycloneye
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Tropical wave SW of cape verde islands looks impressive

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 24, 2003 6:07 am

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browsh.html

But conditions are not the best for development at this time however it has to be watched because it is at a low latitud and in the tropics the patterns change constantly and become favorable in a hurry.
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#2 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Sep 24, 2003 6:39 am

I was also wondering about that wave, Luis. The CV season is almost behind us, but this has been an unusual year, so who knows.......
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#3 Postby Aquawind » Wed Sep 24, 2003 7:42 am

Things are looking pretty active this morning on the IR loops compared to yesterday.. Blobs popping all over.. :lol:
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#4 Postby Tip » Wed Sep 24, 2003 8:11 am

This wave may be low enough in latitude to escape some of the unfavorable conditions in the area.

http://meteosat.e-technik.uni-ulm.de/me ... IS-C4D.gif
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#5 Postby Steve H. » Wed Sep 24, 2003 8:55 am

Hey, keep an eye on this one Luis, its building. The shear to its west is declining. This one looks quite impressive right now. 8-)
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 24, 2003 8:58 am

Steve any models are honking on this one?
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Juan is his name....

#7 Postby Weathermaster » Wed Sep 24, 2003 9:03 am

If this trend continues this will be Juan. This is the lowest latitude system of this season that has possibility of developing. It could be the last CV system of this season. The islands have to closely monitor this system since there is high pressure north of this system and since is so low, I do not believe it will be a fish.
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#8 Postby Steve H. » Wed Sep 24, 2003 10:00 am

Models closed it off then opened it up again fter 2 days, probably due to expected Shear. Not sure if the shear's gonna be that strong. I give it a 3 out of 5 chance of developing. 8-)
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#9 Postby WeatherEmperor » Wed Sep 24, 2003 11:45 am

I just hope that climatology holds up and does not allow this system to develop and reach land.
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#10 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Sep 24, 2003 11:50 am

The last METEOSAT imagery I looked at actually looked like a poleward outflow channel was becoming established on the NW'ern side of the disturbance. So far, there are presently no signs of becoming better organized, though it'll be continued to be monitored.

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