tarheelprogrammer wrote:Stronger this run for sure. Looks to be closed off at hour 144. What is the ridging situation?
Ridge to the north sitting over the Carolinas:
ATL: HERMINE - Models
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Ridge to the north sitting over the Carolinas:
Last edited by gatorcane on Sun Aug 21, 2016 1:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
gatorcane wrote:tarheelprogrammer wrote:Stronger this run for sure. Looks to be closed off at hour 144. What is the ridging situation?
Ridge to the north:
Shear forecast?
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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
12z Euro... 168 Hours... ... Moving NW through N Bahamas as strong TS...
Last edited by Blown Away on Sun Aug 21, 2016 1:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
surprised it even gets that far north with that huge ridge building over the Carolinas.
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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Much faster than 12z GFS... Euro a couple days earlier...
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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
12z Euro... 192 Hours... Landfall @ Daytona feeling the ridge... Maybe a cane...
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Landfall at hour 192 between Central and North Florida. Hmmm. ECMWF keeps getting stronger not a good sign this far out.
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WeatherEmperor
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Blown Away wrote:12z Euro... 192 Hours... Landfall @ Daytona feeling the ridge... Maybe a cane...
I agree looks like a Cane to me too. Big change in the Euro now showing development. Needs to be watched for sure now
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
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TheStormExpert
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Landfall near Daytona Beach, FL in 192hrs. as a moderate TS on 12z Euro.
Last edited by TheStormExpert on Sun Aug 21, 2016 1:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
The Euro west turn is further north than the GFS and NAVGEM perhaps since the Euro brings it to the Bahamas faster.
Last edited by gatorcane on Sun Aug 21, 2016 1:47 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Hispaniola could be a big factor because it slowed 99L down a bit...
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WeatherEmperor
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
The Euro makes it go due West from 168 hrs to 192 hours indicating a strong ridge to the north. Very interesting for sure
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
GFS has been decent not at predicting exactly what would happen but foretelling favorable conditions. I guess now the question is, what exactly will happen?
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