ATL: HERMINE - Models

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NDG
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1361 Postby NDG » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:23 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:12z Euro now caving to the GFS?


Not at all, it is being persistent with a stronger ridge than what the 12z GFS shows, through 96 hrs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1362 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:23 pm

Not sure what you guys are looking at but vorticity is somewhat better defined this run vs 00z out to 120hrs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1363 Postby hurrtracker79 » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:24 pm

Think this will end up passing through S FL and then into the Gulf. With that stout ridge, the Gulf is WIDE open IMO
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1364 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:24 pm

Euro looks to start developing in the South-Central Bahamas and slowing the movement towards the WNW
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1365 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:24 pm

Euro has 99L in the central Bahamas 5 days from now with a big ridge to the north. If 99L finds the right conditions it is poised in a perfect position to strike South Florida.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1366 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:24 pm

NDG wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:12z Euro now caving to the GFS?


Not at all, it is being persistent with a stronger ridge than what the 12z GFS shows, through 96 hrs.

I meant intensity wise.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1367 Postby NDG » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:25 pm

12z Euro even a stronger ridge in its 120 hr forecast.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1368 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:26 pm

90L a few degrees farther E on this run at 120 hours...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1369 Postby NDG » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:26 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:
NDG wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:12z Euro now caving to the GFS?


Not at all, it is being persistent with a stronger ridge than what the 12z GFS shows, through 96 hrs.

I meant intensity wise.


Through 120 hr is about the same as last night's run, intensity wise.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1370 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:27 pm

12Z Euro 120 hours heading WNW:

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1371 Postby NDG » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:27 pm

Blown Away wrote:90L a few degrees farther E on this run at 120 hours...


Another player in 90L's intensity, IMO.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1372 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:28 pm

gatorcane wrote:12Z Euro 120 hours heading WNW:

Image


If this slows down to a crawl and finds the right conditions in that location with a ridge over head...Watch out!!!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1373 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:29 pm

144 hours and getting stronger heading WNW in the Central Bahamas
Last edited by gatorcane on Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1374 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:29 pm

Oh boy...144 hours and it's starting to blossom.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1375 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:29 pm

12z Euro... 144 Hours... Moving WNW through Central Bahamas... Might be moderate TS strength
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1376 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:29 pm

Definitely starting to intensify at 132hrs...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1377 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:29 pm

Stronger at hour 144
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1378 Postby NDG » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:30 pm

Per Euro's h50 forecast 99L has no other way but to go WNW into FL, IMO.
Last edited by NDG on Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1379 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:30 pm

144 hours:
Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#1380 Postby BobHarlem » Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:30 pm

144 hours stronger over Andros Island.
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