ATL: HERMINE - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
It looks like the 18z run of the GFS is going back to a similar run to the earlier 06z run, stronger ridging across the Carolinas.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
I have to point out one thing on the Euro's run, it's eerily similar to Elena, both in timing and track (though the track being 100 or so miles north), and I recall several people pointing out that the wave had a similar appearance as well days before.
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- AtlanticWind
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Here's the problem..... Dry air north and south of it.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=watl&pkg=mslp_pwata&runtime=2016082218&fh=108&xpos=0&ypos=505
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=watl&pkg=mslp_pwata&runtime=2016082218&fh=108&xpos=0&ypos=505
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- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Watching this bad boy closely, supposed to be in Charleston for Labor Day weekend for a Bachelor Party.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
sp, we have anywhere from a cat 4 in the Gulf to no disturbance worth monitoring
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- centuryv58
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Alyono wrote:MU still has nothing but a sheared Piece of cow dung
SO tell us how you really feel.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Dean4Storms wrote:Here's the problem..... Dry air north and south of it.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=watl&pkg=mslp_pwata&runtime=2016082218&fh=108&xpos=0&ypos=505
It seems to boil down even further to Fiona and 99L competing for moisture, because the Euro (which does develop this now) doesn't have Fiona's remnants around.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
NDG wrote:It looks like the 18z run of the GFS is going back to a similar run to the earlier 06z run, stronger ridging across the Carolinas.
Yep, and notice that the Fiona remnants are tracking like the 6Z run and not the 12Z run, which delayed them coming ashore FL a day.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Alyono wrote:MU still has nothing but a sheared Piece of cow dung
Who is gonna bust Euro or Gfs?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Elena would be better than Hugo, the track took it over the islands which kept the intensity in check.
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- gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
This time the GFS hits it with shear from a ULL that pinches off from the northeast. In the 12Z it was a ULL from the northwest.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
U can say ukmet, Cmc, euro or gfs...one of them will bust but it's really not a bust until we have a center or a llc we don't have anything right now
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- Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Well either the Euro and UKMET are going to bust or the GFS will..will be interesting to see which models are right.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Bocadude85 wrote:Well either the Euro and UKMET are going to bust or the GFS will..will be interesting to see which models are right.
l agree We'll Soon Find Out
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Alyono wrote:sp, we have anywhere from a cat 4 in the Gulf to no disturbance worth monitoring
What is your 7 day prediction for this disturbance?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- wflamholtz
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pkjm1eWoSBs
A very informative video by Levi Cowan from Tropical Tidbits
A very informative video by Levi Cowan from Tropical Tidbits
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