
ATL: HERMINE - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
and then again the HWRF oddly throws the vorticity south to the coast of Cuba. there must be some sort of continuity issue this run. just have to wait for the 18z.pretty sure it will be back.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
TheStormExpert wrote:gatorcane wrote:12Z NAVGEM with a hurricane passing through the FL Keys
I feel safer already!
NAVGEM had a GFS-esque solution (i.e. no development) until this run which marks another model in the development camp.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
HWRF does an about face on development. All in the 3 day range as well. It is very apparent that the models are having a very difficult time with the Fiona/99L interaction.
SFT
SFT
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
SouthFLTropics wrote:HWRF does an about face on development. All in the 3 day range as well. It is very apparent that the models are having a very difficult time with the Fiona/99L interaction.
SFT
like I mentioned I think this run had some continuity issues with the proximity to land as the vorticity kept bouncing back and forth to the coast of HR and Cuba. I bet the next run does not do that and its back to similar runs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Well, there's no way that this drop development out of nowhere so this probably was just a feedback issue.
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Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
so, the non MU based models, except for Canadian due to it intensifying Fiona too much, have significant development
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
12Z Euro initialized

REMINDER: we are trying to reduce the clutter of the model threads. Off topic posts, one liners, and opinions not directly related to a model run will be removed. Please use the discussion thread for non model run related discussions. Think about what you want to see a year or two from now when reviewing this thread.
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REMINDER: we are trying to reduce the clutter of the model threads. Off topic posts, one liners, and opinions not directly related to a model run will be removed. Please use the discussion thread for non model run related discussions. Think about what you want to see a year or two from now when reviewing this thread.
Thanks for your cooperation.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Example - This page had zero model run images and one tweet. It was almost entirely one liners. Someone should be able to come to this thread and look at the model data without having to sift through 8 pages of three word posts.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=59&t=118167&start=1960
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=59&t=118167&start=1960
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Faster development perhaps?


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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Euro much better organized in 24hr then last run.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Interesting that the Euro shows it getting better organized over the next 24 hrs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

12z Euro... 48 Hours... Likely TS moving fast WNW just N of Hispaniola...
Last edited by Blown Away on Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Nav gem is garbage has Gaston as a monster.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
tolakram wrote:
This is where the GFS and Euro show their differences, Fiona's vorticity is much weaker on the Euro than on the GFS.
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