ATL: HERMINE - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Canadian struggles as it has a strong upper low dropping over it from the NE
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- Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

12z Guidance... E shifts today...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
ronyan wrote:dantonlsu wrote:When does the EURO run??
12:45pm central
Now will the Euro cave and come around to little to no development or will it stick to its guns?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
I see east shifts so this makes senseronjon wrote:ronyan wrote:dantonlsu wrote:When does the EURO run??
12:45pm central
Now will the Euro cave and come around to little to no development or will it stick to its guns?
curtadams wrote:Looks to me like it was a heavily sheared but coupled system at dawn that just decoupled, with the LLC jumping north and the ULC disappearing.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Blown Away wrote:
12z Guidance... E shifts today...

Last edited by northjaxpro on Wed Aug 24, 2016 12:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
I've had to delete numerous off topic posts and needless one liners.
If the clutter in here keeps up warnings will be issued and posting privileges may be suspended to those who continue to clutter up the model forum with needless banter.
Refer to this thread: viewtopic.php?f=59&t=118193
If the clutter in here keeps up warnings will be issued and posting privileges may be suspended to those who continue to clutter up the model forum with needless banter.
Refer to this thread: viewtopic.php?f=59&t=118193
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
I think it's safe to say this run of the HWRF can be tossed into the can.
At 96 hours it has it all the remnants of the vort all the way down by South America.



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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Trying to compare some of the synoptic set-ups between the GFS and Euro.
GFS continues to cut off the trough in the western Atlantic and retrograde it southwest. Euro eventually cuts off the trough but much further east.
Example for Saturday evening, the GFS is much further west with the ULL. Probably bringing increased shear and sinking air into the SW Atlantic. Euro is much further SE with the cut-off low.

GFS continues to cut off the trough in the western Atlantic and retrograde it southwest. Euro eventually cuts off the trough but much further east.
Example for Saturday evening, the GFS is much further west with the ULL. Probably bringing increased shear and sinking air into the SW Atlantic. Euro is much further SE with the cut-off low.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
12Z Euro init. Once again I will be away for most of this run if someone else can post.


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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
Weaker and further SW so far.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
48 hours, weaker and faster on the 12Z ECMWF, shift west so far. Might be caving to the GFS?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models
gatorcane wrote:48 hours, weaker and faster on the 12Z ECMWF, shift west so far. Might be caving to the GFS?
Wasn't the GFS further and slower north?
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