Nimbus wrote:I wouldn't mind waiting around till Tuesday for stable track and 72 hour landfall predictions.
The low level circulation is shallow and could take 48 hours to build back up.
One thing that concerns me is that the low level center isn't elongated so by Tuesday this system could be ready to bomb if the shear lets up.
Bingo. I remember Charley's pressure crashing in a 4 hour period and it moving from a nominal Cat 2 to a Cat 4 quickly and if it had stayed on the projected course towards Tampa, it may have intensified further.
Once these GoM systems get organized, especially with the extra warm SST's we have, watch out.
Thus why I'm out tying down banana trees and anchoring all of my fruit trees in the calm cool weather we're having (well, 90 is cooler than the 99 we had the other day).
