Dylan wrote:Alyono wrote:lets not forget that ONLY the MU develops this
No other model is doing anything with it. I'd say development chances are no higher than 25%
I respect the fact that you're a professional Meteorologist, and maybe you weren't aware, but the ECMWF also has been developing this disturbance. In fact, the ECMWF is coming in stronger on this run compared to the 12z run.
I see now. Develops it as it approaches the Caribbean. It also develops Nine more.
Perhaps the 12Z run was BS overall