ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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- gatorcane
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Boy this system is reluctant to move, I don't see any movement looking at this loop:
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
given its current sat presentation with the curved band all the way around and continuous convection the last many hours its likely 45kt ish
centered
24.41° N 87.07°W
centered
24.41° N 87.07°W
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Wed Aug 31, 2016 11:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
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If there is nothing before... then just ask

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
SEASON_CANCELED wrote:did it go southeast?
I had thought that it did go southeast slighly; more of a tiny cyclonic loop. But, last few pics look like its pretty much anchored there and not moving (at least I dont think so)
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Andy D
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
What'yall say, if recon gets out there and still finds 1003 pressures and highest winds at 30kt's, that we all just leave this train-wreck and head over to my place for beers LOL!
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Andy D
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:given its current sat presentation with the curved band all the way around and continuous convection the last many hours its likely 45kt ish
you are a brave person calling wind speed based on continuous convention..i get your drift, it would seem its a TS but until recon can verify the surface we will have to wait...it sure has had its moments but each time they arrive the surface structure isnt cooperating...it will eventually
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Very consistent unflagged SFMR above TS force
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
here on central gulf coast (Jackson Cnty, MS) wind E to SE 5mph pressure 1011.2mb and steady
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- gatorcane
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Re: NINE Preps/obs/reports thread - Caribbean, Florida/Gulf coast
I am hearing school closed in Pasco county....
Big rain band just offshore Pinellas
Big rain band just offshore Pinellas
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
crimi481 wrote:If it stalls, or drifts sw, I would think the incoming trough would send it more south and east- back towards Tampa area. Anyone agree?
I don't see that happening with a low latitude ridge moving in from the east, it may stick around and meander around.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
OntarioEggplant wrote:Very consistent unflagged SFMR above TS force
where do you see this?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- StormTracker
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Uh-oooo! Looks like the flight turned back!
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Developing a feeder band from the south - those wispy feather-like cirrus on the north side shows a nice anti-cyclone sitting atop it - very nice ventilation.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html
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- StormTracker
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
StormTracker wrote:Uh-oooo! Looks like the flight turned back!
http://flightaware.com/live/flight/NOAA43
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
JKingTampa wrote:My street has officially became a river here in St Petersburg. Anyone know how much rain these storm drains will be able to hold?
It's at capacity if there is standing water in the street. You should monitor conditions very closely and have an evacuation plan ready just in case. I'm just saying. Be safe.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Not sure if the Center matters the worst weather should be south and east if this moves NE with the trough.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Recon
000
URNT15 KWBC 311655
NOAA3 1009A CYCLONE HDOB 07 20160831
164600 2619N 08532W 6969 03193 0075 +109 +072 167026 027 028 000 00
164630 2617N 08533W 6969 03194 0081 +104 +083 173022 023 027 000 00
164700 2616N 08535W 6968 03194 0082 +103 +078 174024 025 027 000 00
164730 2614N 08536W 6969 03192 0082 +103 +075 169026 026 029 000 00
164800 2613N 08537W 6969 03190 0082 +103 +070 166025 025 032 002 00
164830 2611N 08538W 6969 03190 0078 +104 +072 167023 025 037 000 00
164900 2609N 08539W 6969 03189 0076 +105 +070 166021 022 035 000 00
164930 2608N 08541W 6971 03186 0072 +108 +068 166022 023 033 000 00
165000 2606N 08542W 6970 03188 0072 +109 +071 166020 021 033 000 00
165030 2604N 08543W 6972 03187 0077 +107 +066 168020 021 034 000 00
165100 2603N 08544W 6970 03188 0073 +108 +065 165021 023 034 000 00
165130 2601N 08546W 6976 03182 0078 +108 +074 157027 029 033 001 00
165200 2600N 08547W 6974 03182 0076 +105 +086 159032 033 034 000 00
165230 2558N 08548W 6973 03183 0074 +105 +083 160032 033 035 000 00
165300 2556N 08549W 6973 03184 0075 +105 +076 165033 034 035 000 00
165330 2555N 08551W 6976 03179 0077 +103 +086 163033 034 038 000 00
165400 2553N 08552W 6974 03180 0075 +102 +094 164031 033 037 001 00
165430 2552N 08553W 6999 03153 0073 +104 +098 164029 030 037 001 00
165500 2550N 08554W 6958 03200 0069 +105 +089 165029 030 038 000 00
165530 2549N 08555W 6942 03216 0070 +103 +078 165030 031 038 000 00
I think we finally have Hermine. 38 kt SFMR.
URNT15 KWBC 311655
NOAA3 1009A CYCLONE HDOB 07 20160831
164600 2619N 08532W 6969 03193 0075 +109 +072 167026 027 028 000 00
164630 2617N 08533W 6969 03194 0081 +104 +083 173022 023 027 000 00
164700 2616N 08535W 6968 03194 0082 +103 +078 174024 025 027 000 00
164730 2614N 08536W 6969 03192 0082 +103 +075 169026 026 029 000 00
164800 2613N 08537W 6969 03190 0082 +103 +070 166025 025 032 002 00
164830 2611N 08538W 6969 03190 0078 +104 +072 167023 025 037 000 00
164900 2609N 08539W 6969 03189 0076 +105 +070 166021 022 035 000 00
164930 2608N 08541W 6971 03186 0072 +108 +068 166022 023 033 000 00
165000 2606N 08542W 6970 03188 0072 +109 +071 166020 021 033 000 00
165030 2604N 08543W 6972 03187 0077 +107 +066 168020 021 034 000 00
165100 2603N 08544W 6970 03188 0073 +108 +065 165021 023 034 000 00
165130 2601N 08546W 6976 03182 0078 +108 +074 157027 029 033 001 00
165200 2600N 08547W 6974 03182 0076 +105 +086 159032 033 034 000 00
165230 2558N 08548W 6973 03183 0074 +105 +083 160032 033 035 000 00
165300 2556N 08549W 6973 03184 0075 +105 +076 165033 034 035 000 00
165330 2555N 08551W 6976 03179 0077 +103 +086 163033 034 038 000 00
165400 2553N 08552W 6974 03180 0075 +102 +094 164031 033 037 001 00
165430 2552N 08553W 6999 03153 0073 +104 +098 164029 030 037 001 00
165500 2550N 08554W 6958 03200 0069 +105 +089 165029 030 038 000 00
165530 2549N 08555W 6942 03216 0070 +103 +078 165030 031 038 000 00
I think we finally have Hermine. 38 kt SFMR.
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- tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
StormTracker wrote:StormTracker wrote:Uh-oooo! Looks like the flight turned back!
http://flightaware.com/live/flight/NOAA43
That is recon in the Pacific.
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Okay, someone help me with this? I've got two different flight trackers in play at the moment. One shows the flight on return to McDill and the other closing in the storm?? Here are the links:
http://airbornescience.nasa.gov/tracker ... g=-84.7321
http://flightaware.com/live/flight/N43RF
http://airbornescience.nasa.gov/tracker ... g=-84.7321
http://flightaware.com/live/flight/N43RF
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Andy D
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
Blinhart wrote:OntarioEggplant wrote:Very consistent unflagged SFMR above TS force
where do you see this?
HD OBS third to last column.
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- StormTracker
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Re: ATL: NINE - Tropical Depression - Discussion
StormTracker wrote:StormTracker wrote:Uh-oooo! Looks like the flight turned back!
http://flightaware.com/live/flight/NOAA43
More mechanical problems??? Someone said it earlier, by the time they finally get out there it will be a hurricane!
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