ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1641 Postby hurricanetrack » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:49 pm

Needless to say this run has my attention seeing as how my home and office resides in Wilmington, NC. Any further west and Hazel really does fit the bill for an analog. Now we wait and see what ECMWF shows us.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1642 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:50 pm

As much as I would like to stay up for the Euro have to work in the morning. But I think when I look tomorrow I will see no shift back east, if anything another slight shift going up the South west coast of Fla
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1643 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:52 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:
AutoPenalti wrote:Any Florida hit yet?


No not yet...which is actually somewhat concerning considering a lot of people say the safest place to be is in the bullseye 7-10 days out.


Today's 12z Euro was a hit or pretty darn close to it.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1644 Postby txwatcher91 » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:56 pm

GFS goes west with NC hit about 938-940mb between Wilmington and MHX. The Canadian scrapes the Outer Banks of NC pretty much the same track but slightly east and slower.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1645 Postby Bocadude85 » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:56 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:
Bocadude85 wrote:
AutoPenalti wrote:Any Florida hit yet?


No not yet...which is actually somewhat concerning considering a lot of people say the safest place to be is in the bullseye 7-10 days out.


Today's 12z Euro was a hit or pretty darn close to it.


Yea it was a close call but remained offshore. I'm tempted to say the 0z Euro will shift east a touch but I'm not sure. I just have this feeling that "Matthew" will stay east of Florida.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1646 Postby Socalhurcnegirl227 » Tue Sep 27, 2016 11:57 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:Alright now that wr got the Gfs, Canadian and Ukmet over with...who is staying up for the Euro??


Sent from my iPhone 6 using Tapatalk

Pretty sure ill be awake since its only just going on 10pm here.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1647 Postby WeatherEmperor » Wed Sep 28, 2016 12:02 am

Socalhurcnegirl227 wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:Alright now that wr got the Gfs, Canadian and Ukmet over with...who is staying up for the Euro??


Sent from my iPhone 6 using Tapatalk

Pretty sure ill be awake since its only just going on 10pm here.



Alright! Would you the honors of posting the Euro? Pretty please??


Sent from my iPhone 6 using Tapatalk
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1648 Postby T'Bonz » Wed Sep 28, 2016 12:07 am

tarheelprogrammer wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:00z Gfs starts in about 5. Any guesses what happens? More west...back east??


It will show a NC landfall for the US.


Nailed it!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1649 Postby Socalhurcnegirl227 » Wed Sep 28, 2016 12:18 am

WeatherEmperor wrote:
Socalhurcnegirl227 wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:Alright now that wr got the Gfs, Canadian and Ukmet over with...who is staying up for the Euro??


Sent from my iPhone 6 using Tapatalk

Pretty sure ill be awake since its only just going on 10pm here.



Alright! Would you the honors of posting the Euro? Pretty please??


Sent from my iPhone 6 using Tapatalk

If my phone cooperates with me then yes i can do that
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1650 Postby Socalhurcnegirl227 » Wed Sep 28, 2016 12:19 am

Socalhurcnegirl227 wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:
Socalhurcnegirl227 wrote:Pretty sure ill be awake since its only just going on 10pm here.



Alright! Would you the honors of posting the Euro? Pretty please??
Depending if someone on a laptop or desktop is still awake


Sent from my iPhone 6 using Tapatalk

If my phone cooperates with me then yes i can do that
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1651 Postby Bocadude85 » Wed Sep 28, 2016 12:33 am

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1652 Postby USTropics » Wed Sep 28, 2016 12:37 am

Preliminary GFS ensemble runs look to have quite a few strikes on the EC, especially around the Carolinas.

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1653 Postby SeGaBob » Wed Sep 28, 2016 12:40 am

Almost time for the Euro...any guesses? I think a tad east this time.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1654 Postby pcolaman » Wed Sep 28, 2016 12:43 am

SeGaBob wrote:Almost time for the Euro...any guesses? I think a tad east this time.



I think more west .
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1655 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Sep 28, 2016 12:44 am

SeGaBob wrote:Almost time for the Euro...any guesses? I think a tad east this time.

A good bit more east.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1656 Postby AutoPenalti » Wed Sep 28, 2016 12:46 am

Should we expect more west shifts with the Euro?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1657 Postby SeGaBob » Wed Sep 28, 2016 12:48 am

AutoPenalti wrote:Should we expect more west shifts with the Euro?

Hard to say with some shifting in both directions.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1658 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Sep 28, 2016 12:49 am

Hard to guess regarding the EURO. But my guess is that it rides the East Coast of Florida a bit more inland before lifting out to sea.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1659 Postby Socalhurcnegirl227 » Wed Sep 28, 2016 12:49 am

Im thinking east personally if it keeps its forward speed at the current 15 to 20mph at last nhc update.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1660 Postby pcolaman » Wed Sep 28, 2016 12:49 am

AutoPenalti wrote:Should we expect more west shifts with the Euro?

I believe so because of the lack of intensity and organization.
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