TheStormExpert wrote:SFLcane wrote:TheStormExpert wrote:Why are folks trying to compare this to the situation we had with Hermine? The 500mb pattern featured stronger and more persistent ridging which is more typical of that time of year. We are now in the final days of September and heading into October which would favor a track the GFS has been showing for days and runs now. It still wouldn't hurt to keep an eye on things if you live along the immediate East Coast of Florida like I do but I sense the threat is decreasing.
What's decreasing? This can go anywere!
The NHC is already shifting their track East some 4-5 days out.
The threat may be decreasing for Florida, but it's just as high as ever for the East Coast / NC and North of there