ATL: MATTHEW - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10165
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3521 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:00 pm

Amazing the GFS keeps running same track over and over with only slight deviations through 4 days...
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10165
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3522 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:01 pm

102 hrs... W of 12z... Just SSE of Andros... NNW movement
96 hrs... Slightly W of 12z... N of Cuba
Last edited by Blown Away on Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3523 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:03 pm

102 hours more ridging and a little more west of 12Z, but only slightly overall
0 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20036
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3524 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:03 pm

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
TimeZone

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3525 Postby TimeZone » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:04 pm

GFS sticking to it's guns.
1 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20036
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3526 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:04 pm

trend

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20036
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3527 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:05 pm

Image
1 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3528 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:06 pm

Just miles east of Andros Island.
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
Top
User avatar
blp
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2842
Age: 46
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:51 pm
Location: Miami, FL
Contact:
Contact blp

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3529 Postby blp » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:06 pm

Looking at the trends, I keep seeing slightly slower motion in each run.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3530 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:07 pm

TimeZone wrote:GFS sticking to it's guns.

Just like the 12Z, it has shifted west slightly and slightly slower.
Last edited by gatorcane on Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10165
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3531 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:07 pm

108 hrs... Very close/over Andros... Likely near Cat 4...
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20036
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3532 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:08 pm

This is not a good trend.

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3533 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:08 pm

Ut oh, ridging building back at 114 hours :eek:
0 likes   
Top
Alyono
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 6961
Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 3:52 pm
Location: Texas Coast

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3534 Postby Alyono » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:09 pm

Direct hit on Nassau. Probably a cat 3
0 likes   
Top
TimeZone

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3535 Postby TimeZone » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:10 pm

Ridging attempting to build back in. This isn't the first time the GFS has shown this. Let's see if it breaks down again as quickly as the last time...
Last edited by TimeZone on Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10165
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3536 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:10 pm

gatorcane wrote:Ut oh, ridging building back at 114 hours :eek:


Solid Cat 4...
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Top
User avatar
meriland23
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1239
Age: 37
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3537 Postby meriland23 » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:11 pm

gatorcane wrote:Ut oh, ridging building back at 114 hours :eek:



What does that mean?
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3538 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:11 pm

Hour 126, noticeable shift west, closer to Florida
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10165
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3539 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:11 pm

126 hrs... Cat 4 @Grand Bahama or 100 miles E of Florida... NNW movement...
Last edited by Blown Away on Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:13 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Top
User avatar
BensonTCwatcher
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1046
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 10:11 pm
Location: Southport NC

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#3540 Postby BensonTCwatcher » Fri Sep 30, 2016 5:12 pm

Just got back to look at Mathew from work all day.. holey Moley...and not liking what I'm seeing in the models either..
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2016”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests