ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Is there still radar data available? Or is it out of range for that?

Radar is no longer in range of the eye.

http://www.meteo.cw/rad_loop_ppi.php?La ... CC&Sws=R11
http://barbadosweather.org/BMS_radar_Composite.php
http://www.inameh.gob.ve/web/radar.php

[jlauderdal]

Video Update

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4xXwlTU5zGQ

[CrazyC83]

A big dilemma for NHC for 11 PM without recon nor satellite.

I'd just hold serve and go with the status quo (with a greater range of uncertainty in the position) until we can get Recon in - I would assume around 0600Z. Even for that it will be a tougher flight with its own radar driving it.

[abajan]

Nothing to see here, folks. Go to bed.

Good Night.

[Hurrilurker]

Watch the sat come back online and all of a sudden Matthew is 100 miles SE of Miami...

[cycloneye]

A big dilemma for NHC for 11 PM without recon nor satellite.

I'd just hold serve and go with the status quo (with a greater range of uncertainty in the position) until we can get Recon in - I would assume around 0600Z. Even for that it will be a tougher flight with its own radar driving it.

Next plane departs at 5:30 AM EDT.

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/782388781257203713

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Radar for later:

Jamaica:
http://www.metservice.gov.jm/radarpage2new.asp

[AutoPenalti]

Worst case scenario they will rely on average model output and keep the intensity the same...

[CrazyC83]

A big dilemma for NHC for 11 PM without recon nor satellite.

I'd just hold serve and go with the status quo (with a greater range of uncertainty in the position) until we can get Recon in - I would assume around 0600Z. Even for that it will be a tougher flight with its own radar driving it.

Next plane departs at 5:30 AM EDT.

If they can get a plane ready in time, they should do a hurry-up mission for an 06Z arrival given the circumstances. I wonder if they might do such in the end anyway.

Until one goes in, I wouldn't touch any intensities or forecast tracks. The 00Z model runs will be pretty much useless as well.

[galaxy401]

So we are in a complete blackout with Matthew for now. Hope this can get fixed. Especially for Haiti and Jamaica monitoring it.

[ozonepete]

So the details are a little different from what I read above.

Thanks for the additional info, Mark! We can hope.

[Blown Away]

Kinda old school now... Interesting situation given Matt is such a dangerous system... Time for the old vets at NHC to open their old fashion toolbag forecasting...

Crazy timing with the stall... Wow

[BobHarlem]

The Navy is evacuating all non-essentials from Gitmo http://www.navy.mil/submit/display.asp?story_id=96983

[CrazyC83]

Kinda old school now... Interesting situation given Matt is such a dangerous system... Time for the old vets at NHC to open their old fashion toolbag forecasting...

We've gone back in time to before the 1940s...although really a better comparison might be the 1950s or 60s with occasional Recon (infrequent) and no satellite imagery.

[Michele B]

That Levi video GOLD! Did an excellent job of explaining all the different players on the field and why this situation is so complex.

I think I love Levi a lot! HE DOES make a very complicated issue very easy to understand.

[SEASON_CANCELED]

French and Russian meteorological satellites should still be mapping the area but with no zoom ala floater

[cjrciadt]

Buoy data and ADT to make the estimate for pressure for 11pm Advisory?

[jlauderdal]

im expecting tweets coming from the two presidential candidates about this satellite situation

[HurricaneBelle]

Guess you can say the satellite data comes and GOES.