ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3501 Postby Dave C » Sun Oct 02, 2016 12:16 pm

Each step to the north brings it over higher heat content. :cry: :cry: :cry:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3502 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Oct 02, 2016 12:26 pm

I think the average mean motion is still WNW to NW. I think we just witnessed another cyclonic loop as it wobbles its way underneath the SW portion of the ridge.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3503 Postby Frank2 » Sun Oct 02, 2016 12:32 pm

Perhaps, but per satellite at least its back on the NHC forecast track and appears if not a loop to have made the sharp right, now heading NNW - if it remains that way we shall see....

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Last edited by Frank2 on Sun Oct 02, 2016 12:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3504 Postby Elsiecoro » Sun Oct 02, 2016 12:32 pm

what a fascinating storm to watch, ive been glued to the posts here. I think we will be hearing about Matthew for months ro come.

As a few years lurker here at Storm2K, I think
its about time I donate some, couldnt give enough for value of info I receive here. Im sure others would be welcome to also :)

Perhaps to keep threads tidy and on topic, a Matthew is it going to hit MY house thread :sun:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3505 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 02, 2016 12:34 pm

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3506 Postby tolakram » Sun Oct 02, 2016 12:34 pm

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3507 Postby JKingTampa » Sun Oct 02, 2016 12:35 pm

Frank2 wrote:Perhaps, but per satellite at least its back on the NHC forecast track and appears if not a loop to have made the sharp right, now heading NNW - if it remains that way we shall see....

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I think it will again proceed to the west of the track. It's ERC just finished and I believe it's bragging about it with a millionth cyclonic loop.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3508 Postby tgenius » Sun Oct 02, 2016 12:36 pm

Forgive me for sounding selfish, but for the sake of FL home insurance please have this storm miss FL. All we need is another excuse to crank up rates. :/
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3509 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Oct 02, 2016 12:49 pm

latest image is again showing wnw to near westerly motion.. just stair stepping its way passed the nhc forecast again..
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3510 Postby Michele B » Sun Oct 02, 2016 12:49 pm

stormreader wrote:
dexterlabio wrote:
otowntiger wrote:http://i.imgur.com/WVFKzWh.gif
Wow! That is very strange.



That's pretty cool, it looks like Matthew has an unnamed conjoined twin or something. But I think that is causing more of an impediment than a support for further consolidation? I remember Haiyan in 2013 had this intensely deep feeder band around its CDO, but the one with Matthew looks more like a blob than a banding feature.

If that blob persists it could end up being the most important and destructive feature of the storm in terms of rainfall over parts of the Caribbean islands.


So that comment prompts me to ask: Just what exactly is going on in that blob?

Is that wind? Is it rain? Is it squalls???
Last edited by Ntxw on Sun Oct 02, 2016 12:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Removed img tags
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3511 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Oct 02, 2016 12:53 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:latest image is again showing wnw to near westerly motion.. just stair stepping its way passed the nhc forecast again..


This is exactly what I thought. Every mile further west can make a big difference downstream. Angle of approach from a south approaching storm is critical.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3512 Postby AutoPenalti » Sun Oct 02, 2016 12:58 pm

This thing is pumping the ridge...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3513 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:02 pm

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3514 Postby Sav_hurricane_hunter » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:05 pm

What exactly does "pumping the ridge" mean & what does it mean as far as track for Matthew & the U.S?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3515 Postby crimi481 » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:06 pm

Interesting blob heading w to e. in east Gulf. Also notice the clouds starting to pile up (like rows) between Cuba and Fl Keys.
Could be hinting at possible track?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/flash-vis.html

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3516 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:10 pm

latest image still showing wnw smoothed out motion from recon to now.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3517 Postby FLLurker32 » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:14 pm

NHC has it at 74.6W currently and their path shows it going NNW to straight N by 75W. The next several hours will be very interesting.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3518 Postby ohitsdatguy » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:15 pm

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfdl-p/2016100212/gfdl-p_sst_noice_14L_1.png
Its impressive to see how much heat energy Matthew's sucked out from the Caribbean. No wonder its been weakening for the past day. I expect this to restrengthen once it heads out to warmer waters.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3519 Postby sponger » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:17 pm

ohitsdatguy wrote:http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfdl-p/2016100212/gfdl-p_sst_noice_14L_1.png
Its impressive to see how much heat energy Matthew's sucked out from the Caribbean. No wonder its been weakening for the past day. I expect this to restrengthen once it heads out to warmer waters.


Wow! It took a lot of fuel to power than engine to a 5!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#3520 Postby La Sirena » Sun Oct 02, 2016 1:17 pm

FLLurker32 wrote:NHC has it at 74.6W currently and their path shows it going NNW to straight N by 75W. The next several hours will be very interesting.

Agreed! Matthew is dancing to his own tune at times.....and we can't seem to hear the song lol.
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