ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Dave C]

Each step to the north brings it over higher heat content.

[SouthFLTropics]

I think the average mean motion is still WNW to NW. I think we just witnessed another cyclonic loop as it wobbles its way underneath the SW portion of the ridge.

[Frank2]

Perhaps, but per satellite at least its back on the NHC forecast track and appears if not a loop to have made the sharp right, now heading NNW - if it remains that way we shall see....

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[Elsiecoro]

what a fascinating storm to watch, ive been glued to the posts here. I think we will be hearing about Matthew for months ro come.

As a few years lurker here at Storm2K, I think
its about time I donate some, couldnt give enough for value of info I receive here. Im sure others would be welcome to also

Perhaps to keep threads tidy and on topic, a Matthew is it going to hit MY house thread

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/782629697406562304

[tolakram]

from the ftp site: ftp://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/pub/goeseast/overview2/vis/1610021715pG13G13I01.tif

[JKingTampa]

Perhaps, but per satellite at least its back on the NHC forecast track and appears if not a loop to have made the sharp right, now heading NNW - if it remains that way we shall see....

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I think it will again proceed to the west of the track. It's ERC just finished and I believe it's bragging about it with a millionth cyclonic loop.

[tgenius]

Forgive me for sounding selfish, but for the sake of FL home insurance please have this storm miss FL. All we need is another excuse to crank up rates. :/

[Aric Dunn]

latest image is again showing wnw to near westerly motion.. just stair stepping its way passed the nhc forecast again..

[Michele B]

http://i.imgur.com/WVFKzWh.gif
Wow! That is very strange.

That's pretty cool, it looks like Matthew has an unnamed conjoined twin or something. But I think that is causing more of an impediment than a support for further consolidation? I remember Haiyan in 2013 had this intensely deep feeder band around its CDO, but the one with Matthew looks more like a blob than a banding feature.

If that blob persists it could end up being the most important and destructive feature of the storm in terms of rainfall over parts of the Caribbean islands.

So that comment prompts me to ask: Just what exactly is going on in that blob?

Is that wind? Is it rain? Is it squalls???

[SouthFLTropics]

latest image is again showing wnw to near westerly motion.. just stair stepping its way passed the nhc forecast again..

This is exactly what I thought. Every mile further west can make a big difference downstream. Angle of approach from a south approaching storm is critical.

[AutoPenalti]

This thing is pumping the ridge...

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/NWSMiami/status/782635826710663168

[Sav_hurricane_hunter]

What exactly does "pumping the ridge" mean & what does it mean as far as track for Matthew & the U.S?

[crimi481]

Interesting blob heading w to e. in east Gulf. Also notice the clouds starting to pile up (like rows) between Cuba and Fl Keys.
Could be hinting at possible track?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/flash-vis.html

Not a Pro

[Aric Dunn]

latest image still showing wnw smoothed out motion from recon to now.

[FLLurker32]

NHC has it at 74.6W currently and their path shows it going NNW to straight N by 75W. The next several hours will be very interesting.

[ohitsdatguy]

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfdl-p/2016100212/gfdl-p_sst_noice_14L_1.png
Its impressive to see how much heat energy Matthew's sucked out from the Caribbean. No wonder its been weakening for the past day. I expect this to restrengthen once it heads out to warmer waters.

[sponger]

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfdl-p/2016100212/gfdl-p_sst_noice_14L_1.png
Its impressive to see how much heat energy Matthew's sucked out from the Caribbean. No wonder its been weakening for the past day. I expect this to restrengthen once it heads out to warmer waters.

Wow! It took a lot of fuel to power than engine to a 5!

[La Sirena]

NHC has it at 74.6W currently and their path shows it going NNW to straight N by 75W. The next several hours will be very interesting.

Agreed! Matthew is dancing to his own tune at times.....and we can't seem to hear the song lol.