ATL: MATTHEW - Models
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
It isn't out to sea if it comes back and hit Maine, or Nova Scotia, so you guys saying OTS might not be at all correct. And land interaction will effect the speed and direction, we will not know for days to come.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
NDG wrote:At least we are seeing good consistency now between the GFS and Euro through 72 hr in timing.
NHC might edge their track a little closer to the GFS model now that the Euro went a little to the left on this run.
Yeah EURO has moved in line with the GFS. As a matterof fact, now very similar now in agreement.
Well, it is serious prep time starting tomorrow that's for certain now!
Last edited by northjaxpro on Tue Oct 04, 2016 1:27 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
ronyan wrote:WHYB630 wrote:00z Euro t@120: trough looks a lot different than 00z GFS at the same frame (GFS: negative; EC: positive)
Expecting OTS next frame
It's pretty much academic at this point to say OTS when it's that close to the coast.
*** ENE movement

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Euro has this thing weakening about as fast as any storm I've ever seen once it nears Carolina.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
I am thinking landfall in the 96 hour timeframe from now.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
As if it acquires extropical characteristics after it leaves the NC coast.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
northjaxpro wrote:I am thinking landfall in the 96 hour timeframe from now.
It's possible...let's see if the westward shifts continue into tomorrow.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
very tricky situation.. cant wait to see what happens when I wake up lol
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
WHYB630 wrote:Ex-TC @ 144hrs
Huh? Look! It's Matthews Tumor - it's back

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Anybody with the fullres Euro maps, what are the strongest winds Cape Canaveral looks to get on this run?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Here is the visual graphic for the 00z Ukmet run through 108 hours:


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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
Hammy wrote:Anybody with the fullres Euro maps, what are the strongest winds Cape Canaveral looks to get on this run?
952mb when it passes, looks like close to 50 kts. Landfall near Morehead City / Cape Lookout at 960mb 60kts.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
USTropics wrote:Animated image of the 00z Ukmet:
Interesting what happens with Nicole on that.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models
actually be happy..its very rare that they would verify this far out..yesterday morning the center was 250 east of sofla and now its 120 and trending west..will see how the gfs run does coming up, maybe the westward is done but i doubt itOuterBanker wrote:Some mornings it really doesn't pay to get up. Darn if the NHC put a H right on top of my house and business at the 5am advisory. And to add insult to injury it's in the middle of the night.
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